Is the Short North Dangerous Now?




Is the Short North dangerous?

There’s been a lot of media attention to recent shootings in the Short North this year. It’s supposedly gotten so bad, that Mayor Ginther has asked local businesses in the neighborhood to close by Midnight.
But has the violence really spiraled out of control, especially compared to other areas in the city. Is the Short North dangerous now? Or is the area just getting more attention due to its status as a hot neighborhood popular with locals and tourists alike?

First, let’s take a look at homicides and homicide rates across Franklin County by Census Tract. The numbers are through May 17th and the rates are total homicides divided by the 100K people per tract.

The first thing that sticks out is that the map has a whole lot of white areas, meaning most of the county and most of Columbus have seen zero homicides so far this year. The areas that have seen them do not appear to be much different than previous years- Hilltop, the Far West, the Near South, parts of Linden, and Northland. The Short North has had 1 homicide this year, which is certainly more than normal, but arguably not an epidemic even if gun violence overall is up. The other thing that sticks out is that most homicides are occurring in relatively small areas, and are often tied to certain streets or even certain businesses or residential complexes.

Using this map, we’ll next take a look at the overall homicide rates of specific neighborhoods and areas in and around Columbus to see where the whole of the Short North really ranks.

The ranking gives the neighborhood, how many tracts make it up, the 2020 population, total homicides and the homicide rate per 100,000 people.
1. Franklinton- 3 Tracts- 6,482- 3 Homicides- 46.28
Franklinton is still the most dangerous part of Columbus, and it’s really not even close. This is despite significant redevelopment in the neighborhood.
2. Near South- 13 Tracts- 35,026- 7 Homicides- 19.99
The Near South comes in a distant 2nd place. It includes a much larger area than Franklinton, but about half of the homicides occurred in the 3 tracts to the southeast of Nationwide Children’s Hospital. Places like German and Merion Village have had none.
3. Weinland Park- 2 Tracts- 6,393- 1 Homicide- 15.64
It seems a little unfair to rank Weinland Park 3rd when it’s only had a single homicide, but that’s just how the math works out. The single homicide has been lumped in with the Short North by some media, but it occurred well north across from Campus.
4. Near East- 9 Tracts- 21,841- 3 Homicides- 13.74
The Near East Side ranks 4th for the year so far. It’s been somewhat quieter than normal in this part of the city.
5. Linden- 14 Tracts- 41,627- 5 Homicides- 12.01
Similar to the Near East, Linden has been a bit more quiet than normal despite the relatively bad year Columbus is having.
5. Hilltop- 16 Tracts- 68,045- 8 Homicides- 11.76
Hilltop has had the 2nd most homicides of any of the neighborhoods looked at, but it’s also one of the largest and highest-populated as well, so the rate was lower than those above.
6. Northland- 18 Tracts- 89,165- 9 Homicides- 10.09
Northland has had the most homicides so far of any area of the city or county. Like Hilltop, however, its higher population means its rate is still relatively lower.
7. Short North- 4 Tracts- 12,472- 1 Homicide: 8.07
The Short North’s single homicide puts the neighborhood in 7th place overall. The rate itself is only slightly above that of the entirety of Columbus, so it doesn’t seem to be much of an outlier.
8. Far West- 11 Tracts- 51,308- 3 Homicides- 5.85
The Far West is the only neighborhood looked at that is entirely outside of I-270. It’s rate is only about 60% of the overall Columbus rate at this point in the year.
9. OSU Campus- 12 Tracts- 55,281- 2 Homicides- 3.62
Another large and heavily-populated area, the Campus neighborhood has been fairly safe so far this year.
10. Downtown- 5 Tracts- 12,297- 0 Homicides- 0.0
Downtown has had no homicides so far this year, a departure from last year in which it had already seen 1 at this point on its way to a total of 4 for 2022.
11. Whitehall- 8 Tracts- 23,054- 0 Homicides- 0.0
Another area I think that has had a somewhat negative reputation for crime is Whitehall, the only non-Columbus area looked at. It’s also had no homicides so far this year.

Overall, the neighborhoods above have accounted for 42 of the 65 total homicides so far this year, or about 65%. Most of the rest were very scattered.

So is the Short North dangerous? Not in terms of homicides, no, but that doesn’t mean that recent crime trends should be ignored. That said, it’s pretty clear other neighborhoods are much more deserving of attention in this regard, but may not have the economic or social clout to demand it.
Of course, it also needs to be said that homicides are just a single type of crime. An examination of other types of crime may show a completely different story, but those other types rarely get the kind of breathless, hyperbolic reporting that homicides do.



AllColumbusData’s Most Popular Posts and Pages

most popular posts and pages

Next month, AllColumbusData.com will have its 10-year anniversary. Hard to believe! Here are some stats on just some of what the site now contains:
-338 published posts. 10 additional are already complete and scheduled over the next few months.
-105 specific content pages.
-Well over 2,000 individual and before and after series historic photos.
-143+ years of weather data for both Columbus and its suburbs.
-200+ years of demographic and population data for Columbus and its suburbs.
-Information and photos for hundreds of current and past development projects.
-100+ videos.

What has been the most visited page, the most popular post over the years? Unfortunately, visitor data was lost prior to 2015 for various reasons. However, here have been the top 10 most popular posts and pages since 2015.

Top 10 Posts and the Year Published
1. Before and After How Columbus Changed in 10 Years 2021
This 2-part series was extremely popular last year, and easily became the most visited in the past 7 years.
2. Questions Answered- Columbus Zip Codes 2014
This post was very popular into 2018, but is now defunct. The information on this post ended up becoming bits and parts of other posts and pages.
3. Columbus Retail History- Shopping Centers 2013
One of the oldest posts on the site, it still gets consistent traffic almost a decade later.
4. Columbus Historic Church Demolition 2021
This one detailed plans to demolish an old church on the South Side.
5. Columbus Area Murders by Zip Code 2008-2015 2016
Pretty explanatory. This post provided crude maps of murders by zip code.
6. Columbus’ Greatest Snowstorm 2021
This post gave an account of the March 7-8, 2008 blizzard.
7. Columbus Area Zip Codes and Their Economies 2013
Still a consistent hit after a decade, this post gave details on economic information by local zip code.
8. Winter 2020-2021 Review 2021
Review the 2020-2021 winter with stats and rankings, something that has been done for all winters since 2014.
9. Franklin County Gentrification Trends 1990-2015 2017
This post looked at how income and race changes were driving neighborhood gentrification around Columbus.
10. How We Should Develop Around Intel 2022
The most recent on this list, this post deals with how the area around the Intel project should have a development plan, and detailed a hypothetical map of what that development could look like.

Top 10 Pages
1. Columbus Tornado History
The most popular by far, this page covers historic tornadic events throughout the entire Columbus Metro Area.
2. Olde Towne East Historic Buildings
This has been the most popular of all the Historic Building Database pages to date.
3. Proposed Development
This regularly-updated development page highlights the region’s many proposed projects.
4. Other Residential Historic Buildings
This page was one of the very first to be included in what would eventually become the Historic Building Database. It is defunct now, as its photos were eventually divided into a much greater expansion of featured neighborhoods.
5. Development Under Construction
All the projects currently under construction at any given time.
6. Census Tract Maps
Demographics, population and other data at the census tract level are provided in interactive maps going back to 1930.
7. Winter Storms
This page chronicles significant winter weather events from the past.
8. Columbus Flood History
As above, but dealing with flooding events.
9. Columbus Crime Statistics
Violent and property crime data, maps and demographic data related to Columbus crime are provided going back about 40 years.
10. Completed Development
Buildings and projects that were completed at some point in the past are highlighted on this page going back to the 19th Century.

Any surprises in what has been the most popular? Any posts or pages you’d like to see more of? Let me know here or on the Facebook page if you are enjoying the content or would like to see something different!