Is the Short North Dangerous Now?




Is the Short North dangerous?

There’s been a lot of media attention to recent shootings in the Short North this year. It’s supposedly gotten so bad, that Mayor Ginther has asked local businesses in the neighborhood to close by Midnight.
But has the violence really spiraled out of control, especially compared to other areas in the city. Is the Short North dangerous now? Or is the area just getting more attention due to its status as a hot neighborhood popular with locals and tourists alike?

First, let’s take a look at homicides and homicide rates across Franklin County by Census Tract. The numbers are through May 17th and the rates are total homicides divided by the 100K people per tract.

The first thing that sticks out is that the map has a whole lot of white areas, meaning most of the county and most of Columbus have seen zero homicides so far this year. The areas that have seen them do not appear to be much different than previous years- Hilltop, the Far West, the Near South, parts of Linden, and Northland. The Short North has had 1 homicide this year, which is certainly more than normal, but arguably not an epidemic even if gun violence overall is up. The other thing that sticks out is that most homicides are occurring in relatively small areas, and are often tied to certain streets or even certain businesses or residential complexes.

Using this map, we’ll next take a look at the overall homicide rates of specific neighborhoods and areas in and around Columbus to see where the whole of the Short North really ranks.

The ranking gives the neighborhood, how many tracts make it up, the 2020 population, total homicides and the homicide rate per 100,000 people.
1. Franklinton- 3 Tracts- 6,482- 3 Homicides- 46.28
Franklinton is still the most dangerous part of Columbus, and it’s really not even close. This is despite significant redevelopment in the neighborhood.
2. Near South- 13 Tracts- 35,026- 7 Homicides- 19.99
The Near South comes in a distant 2nd place. It includes a much larger area than Franklinton, but about half of the homicides occurred in the 3 tracts to the southeast of Nationwide Children’s Hospital. Places like German and Merion Village have had none.
3. Weinland Park- 2 Tracts- 6,393- 1 Homicide- 15.64
It seems a little unfair to rank Weinland Park 3rd when it’s only had a single homicide, but that’s just how the math works out. The single homicide has been lumped in with the Short North by some media, but it occurred well north across from Campus.
4. Near East- 9 Tracts- 21,841- 3 Homicides- 13.74
The Near East Side ranks 4th for the year so far. It’s been somewhat quieter than normal in this part of the city.
5. Linden- 14 Tracts- 41,627- 5 Homicides- 12.01
Similar to the Near East, Linden has been a bit more quiet than normal despite the relatively bad year Columbus is having.
5. Hilltop- 16 Tracts- 68,045- 8 Homicides- 11.76
Hilltop has had the 2nd most homicides of any of the neighborhoods looked at, but it’s also one of the largest and highest-populated as well, so the rate was lower than those above.
6. Northland- 18 Tracts- 89,165- 9 Homicides- 10.09
Northland has had the most homicides so far of any area of the city or county. Like Hilltop, however, its higher population means its rate is still relatively lower.
7. Short North- 4 Tracts- 12,472- 1 Homicide: 8.07
The Short North’s single homicide puts the neighborhood in 7th place overall. The rate itself is only slightly above that of the entirety of Columbus, so it doesn’t seem to be much of an outlier.
8. Far West- 11 Tracts- 51,308- 3 Homicides- 5.85
The Far West is the only neighborhood looked at that is entirely outside of I-270. It’s rate is only about 60% of the overall Columbus rate at this point in the year.
9. OSU Campus- 12 Tracts- 55,281- 2 Homicides- 3.62
Another large and heavily-populated area, the Campus neighborhood has been fairly safe so far this year.
10. Downtown- 5 Tracts- 12,297- 0 Homicides- 0.0
Downtown has had no homicides so far this year, a departure from last year in which it had already seen 1 at this point on its way to a total of 4 for 2022.
11. Whitehall- 8 Tracts- 23,054- 0 Homicides- 0.0
Another area I think that has had a somewhat negative reputation for crime is Whitehall, the only non-Columbus area looked at. It’s also had no homicides so far this year.

Overall, the neighborhoods above have accounted for 42 of the 65 total homicides so far this year, or about 65%. Most of the rest were very scattered.

So is the Short North dangerous? Not in terms of homicides, no, but that doesn’t mean that recent crime trends should be ignored. That said, it’s pretty clear other neighborhoods are much more deserving of attention in this regard, but may not have the economic or social clout to demand it.
Of course, it also needs to be said that homicides are just a single type of crime. An examination of other types of crime may show a completely different story, but those other types rarely get the kind of breathless, hyperbolic reporting that homicides do.



Housing Market Update January 2023




Housing market update January 2023

The Housing Market Update January 2023 data, the first of the new year, from Columbus Realtors showed that home sales and overall supply continued to decline, helping to ensure most areas saw continued increases in median prices.

Note: LSD= Local School District, CSD= City School District. In both cases, school district boundaries differ from city boundaries.

Housing Market Update January 2023 county closed sales
Housing market update January 2023 county closed sales % change
Closed sales are those sales that were completed during the month. 7 of the 10 metro counties saw declines in January
Housing market update January 2023 best closed sales
Housing market update January 2023 worst closed sales
Only 9 of more than 40 local markets were up year-over-year.
Housing market update January 2023 county median price
Housing market update January 2023 county median price change
Housing market update January 2023 median price % change
Not sure what was going on in Union County in January, but it was well above all other counties for the month. The market overall continued to be up on price year-over-year, except in Pickaway County.
Overall Market Median Sales Price in January 2023: $307,289
Based on the 10 Columbus Metro Area counties, the metro price saw a more than $39,000 increase over January, 2022.
Overall Market Median Sales Price % Change in January, 2023 vs. January, 2022: +14.6%
Continuing home sale declines had relatively little impact on home prices overall, which saw a strong increase over the year.
Housing market update January 2023 least expensive markets
Housing market update January 2023 most expensive markets
Housing market update January 2023 lowest market price change
Housing market update January 2023 highest market price change
It seems the Intel project’s impact may finally be making an appearance in housing numbers, with the Johnstown district seeing a huge increase in median home prices versus January 2022, 2 months before the project became official. That said, New Albany had one of the areas largest declines, but that could be due to it generally being one of the most expensive markets last year.
Housing market update January 2023 new listings by county
Housing market update January 2023 new listings change
New listings across most of the metro area were down, accounting for most of the median price increase as demand remains strong in the region. Most of the decrease came from Franklin County.
Total Metro New Listings in January, 2023: 1,612
Total Metro New Listings Change from January, 2022 to January, 2023: -316
Housing market update January 2023 most market listings
Housing market update January 2023 fewest market listings
Housing market update January 2023 county days on market
Housing market update January 2023 days on market change
Average # of Days Homes Remain on the Market Before Sale for the Metro Overall in January, 2023: 34.0
# of Days Homes Remain on the Market Before Sale for the Metro January, 2022 to January, 2023: +8.8

Homes continued to sell more slowly than they did a year ago, now more than a week more slowly on average.
Housing market update January 2023 fastest selling markets
Housing market update January 2023 slowest selling markets
Housing market update January 2023 market sale days increase
Housing market update January 2023 market sale days decline