2020 Census Metro Area Comparison




After a very long delay, the 2020 Census data has arrived! In this first series of related posts, we will compared Columbus to national peer and Midwest metro areas.  Metros used here are those that were within 1.5-2.5 million in either 2010 or 2020, as well as Midwest metros of 500,000 or more in either 2010 or 2020, and all Ohio metros.

Total Population by Metro Area by Year
Green metros moved up in the rankings 2010-2020 and red moved down.

Rank

2010

2020

1

Chicago: 9,461,105

Chicago: 9,618,502

2

Detroit: 4,296,250

Detroit: 4,392,041

3

Minneapolis: 3,346,859

Minneapolis: 3,690,261

4

St. Louis: 2,787,701

St. Louis: 2,820,253

5

Pittsburgh: 2,356,285

Orlando: 2,673,376

6

Charlotte: 2,243,960

Charlotte: 2,660,329

7

Portland: 2,226,009

San Antonio: 2,558,143

8

Sacramento: 2,149,127

Portland: 2,512,859

9

San Antonio: 2,142,508

Sacramento: 2,379,382

10

Cincinnati: 2,137,667

Pittsburgh: 2,370,930

11

Orlando: 2,134,411

Austin: 2,283,371

12

Cleveland: 2,077,240

Las Vegas: 2,265,461

13

Kansas City: 2,009,240

Cincinnati: 2,256,884

14

Las Vegas: 1,951,269

Kansas City: 2,192,035

15

Columbus: 1,901,974

Columbus: 2,138,926

16

Indianapolis: 1,887,877

Indianapolis: 2,111,040

17

San Jose: 1,836,911

Cleveland: 2,088,251

18

Austin: 1,716,289

San Jose: 2,000,251

19

Virginia Beach: 1,713,954

Nashville: 1,989,519

20

Nashville: 1,646,200

Virginia Beach: 1,799,674

21

Providence: 1,600,852

Providence: 1,676,579

22

Milwaukee: 1,555,908

Jacksonville: 1,605,848

23

Jacksonville: 1,345,596

Milwaukee: 1,574,731

24

Grand Rapids: 993,670

Grand Rapids: 1,087,592

25

Omaha: 865,350

Omaha: 967,604

26

Dayton: 799,232

Dayton: 809,248

27

Akron: 703,200

Des Moines: 707,915

28

Toledo: 651,429

Akron: 701,449

29

Wichita: 623,061

Madison: 670,447

30

Des Moines: 606,475

Wichita: 643,768

31

Madison: 605,435

Toledo: 641,549

32

Youngstown: 565,773

Lansing: 548,248

33

Lansing: 534,684

Youngstown: 531,420

34

Canton: 404,422

Canton: 396,669

Columbus largely held its own in the rankings this decade, but it poised to eventually pass a few of the metros currently ahead of it.

Total Metro Growth by Metro 2010-2020
1. Austin: +567,082
2. Orland: +538,965
3. Charlotte: +416,369
4. San Antonio: +415,635
5. Minneapolis: +343,402
6. Nashville: +343,319
7. Las Vegas: +314,192
8. Portland: +286,850
9. Jacksonville: +260,252
10. Sacramento: +248,255
11. Columbus: +236,952
12. Indianapolis: +223,163
13. Kansas City: +182,693
14. San Jose: +163,557
15. Chicago: +157,397
16. Cincinnati: +119,217
17. Omaha: +102,254
18. Des Moines: +101,440
19. Detroit: +95,791
20. Grand Rapids: +93,922
21. Virginia Beach: +85,720
22. Providence: +75,727
23. Madison: +65,012
24. St. Louis: +32,552
25. Wichita: +20,707
26. Milwaukee: +18,823
27. Pittsburgh: +14,645
28. Lansing: +13,564
29. Cleveland: +11,011
30. Dayton: +10,016
31. Akron: -1,751
32. Canton: -7,753
33. Toledo: -9,880
34. Youngstown: -34,353

Columbus had the 2nd highest growth in the Midwest after Minneapolis, and is growing much faster than 3 metros currently ranked ahead of it- Cincinnati, Kansas City and Pittsburgh- which it will likely pass at some point in the future. For Cincinnati, for example, current growth rates would suggest Columbus will pass it sometime around 2027. In any event, Columbus’ metro growth was the highest in its history, and about 10,000 more than occurred during the 2000s.

Data related to metro components of growth, such as immigration and deaths vs. births, have yet to be released. Those should come out sometime next month, and will be posted here when they do.



Where Does the Immigrant Population Live?




In Franklin County, the immigrant- or foreign-born- population has been growing rapidly for the last few decades. Latin American immigration was dominant for many years, but has recently taken secondary position to even faster Asian growth. But where does the immigrant population live, exactly? Where they end up in the county is perhaps not where common belief would always suggest. The interactive map below breaks down not only the main continent of origin for immigrants by census tract, but also gives the top 5 specific origin nations. While at first glance, the continents seem heavily grouped together, a deeper look at nations of origin indicate that immigrant populations are much more diverse and spread out much more evenly than it appears.

The Census Tract Maps offers a great deal of demographic and population data in all subjects, while Historic US Maps provides old maps of all types.



Ohio Census 2020 Response Rates



Ohio census 2020 response rates

The 2020 US Census is currently winding down, perhaps somewhat earlier than planned, but wrapping up nonetheless.
The accuracy of the Census relies heavily on enough people responding to the surveys. Because of the pandemic this year, the internet has played a bigger role in the response rates than normal, but there were still plenty of door to door workers doing surveys. How did Columbus, Central Ohio and other parts of the state do? Here are the Ohio census 2020 response rates.

First, let’s look at Ohio counties. These numbers are through September 2nd.

Top 10 counties for Census Response
1. Medina County: 81.9%
2. Delaware County: 79.7%
3. Geauga County, Warren County: 78.7%
4. Union County: 78.0%
5. Lake County: 77.4%
6. Auglaize County: 76.9%
7. Wayne County: 76.8%
8. Greene County: 76.0%
9. Miami County: 75.9%
10. Fulton County: 75.2%

Bottom 10 Counties for Census Response
1. Harrison County: 55.5%
2. Morgan County: 57.7%
3. Vinton County: 57.9%
4. Pike County: 58.5%
5. Monroe County: 58.8%
6. Lawrence County: 59.3%
7. Scioto County: 59.4%
8. Meigs County: 59.6%
9. Adams County: 59.9%
10. Ashtabula County, Athens County: 60.8%

Most of the high-reporting counties were large metro counties, while most of the low ones were Appalachia. This may be related to access to the internet, which again, played a crucial role this year.

Here are the counties that anchor Ohio’s largest metros
Lucas County: 64.6%
Cuyahoga County: 65.5%
Franklin County: 66.7%
Hamilton County: 66.7%
Mahoning County: 67.4%
Montgomery County: 68.0%
Stark County: 74.3%

Columbus’ Franklin County was tied for 3rd worst.

Now let’s look at Central Ohio cities and towns.
Minerva Park: 88.6%
Worthington: 86.8%
Upper Arlington: 85.7%
Westerville: 83.2%
Dublin: 82.7%
Canal Winchester: 81.8%
Grandview Heights: 81.8%
Gahanna: 81.1%
New Albany: 81.1%
Bexley: 79.5%
Grove City: 78.9%
Groveport: 78.9%
Pataskala: 77.4%
Hilliard: 77.0%
Valleyview: 76.5%
Reynoldsburg: 75.3%
Obetz: 72.7%
Pickerington: 71.6%
Columbus: 62.1%
Whitehall: 58.5%

Generally, the more urban commmunities tended to do worse than the outer suburbs. This has implications on urban areas possibly being undercounted, though the response rates are generally similar to what they were in 2010, so that concern is probably overblown to some extent.

If your’e interested in taking a further look at Ohio’s and other states numbers, visit the following link, in which response rates are tracked all the way down to the Census Tract level: https://2020census.gov/en/response-rates/self-response.html



Updates!




There have been a lot of updates and additions to the site in the last month.

The Historic Building Database pages now contain more than 1,200 buildings.

A new Local Sports History page has been added under the History tab. It contains information on Columbus’ college, minor and major league sports teams going back to the 19th Century.

The May Weather page has been updated with 2020 data, and records can be viewed back to 1879.

The numerous severe weather pages have all been updated to some degree over the past month or so with more links, events and even videos.

The Demographics and Population pages have been updated with 2019 population data, as well as various information related to income, GDP, housing and more!

Finally, a new Columbus Crime Statistics page has been added under the Demographics and Population tab. You can view total crimes, crime rates and maps going back to 1985.

2019 City Population Estimates



2019 city population estimates

The Census has just released 2019 city population estimates. These estimates are good for July 1, 2019. Let’s take a look at how Columbus compares to other cities in Ohio.

Ohio Top 30 Largest Cities by Rank
Census 2010————————————–July 1, 2019
1. Columbus: 787,033————————1. Columbus: 898,553
2. Cleveland: 396,815————————2. Cleveland: 381,009
3. Cincinnati: 296,943——————-—–3. Cincinnati: 303,940
4. Toledo: 287,208———————-——4. Toledo: 272,779
5. Akron: 199,110————————-—–5. Akron: 197,597
6. Dayton: 141,527—————————-6. Dayton: 140,407
7. Parma: 81,601—————————––7. Parma: 78,103
8. Canton: 73,007———————–——-8. Canton: 70,447
9. Youngstown: 66,982————————9. Youngstown: 65,469
10. Lorain: 64,097——————–———10. Lorain: 63,855
11. Hamilton: 62,477——————–——11. Hamilton: 62,082
12. Springfield: 60,608————————12. Springfield: 58,877
13. Kettering: 56,163————————-–13. Kettering: 54,855
14. Elyria: 54,533—————————-—14. Elyria: 53,757
15. Lakewood: 52,131———————––15. Newark: 50,315
16. Cuyahoga Falls: 49,652——————16. Lakewood: 49,678
17. Euclid: 48,920————————–—–17. Cuyahoga Falls: 49,106
18. Middletown: 48,694————————18. Dublin: 49,037
19. Mansfield: 47,821———————-—–19. Middletown: 48,807
20. Newark: 47,573————————–—-20. Beavercreek: 47,741
21. Mentor: 47,159—————————––21. Mentor: 47,262
22. Cleveland Heights: 46,121—————-22. Mansfield: 46,599
23. Beavercreek: 45,193——————–—-23. Euclid: 46,550
24. Strongsville: 44,750————————–24. Strongsville: 44,660
25. Fairfield: 42,510——————————25. Cleveland Heights: 43,992
26. Dublin: 41,751———————————26. Fairfield: 42,558
27. Warren: 41,557—————————-—-27. Grove City: 41,820
28. Findlay 41,202—————————–—-28. Delaware: 41,283
29. Lancaster: 38,780—————————–29. Findlay: 41,225
30. Lima: 38,771———————————–30. Westerville: 41,103

In 2010, 4 Columbus metro communities were in the top 30.  By last year, 6 were, with more poised to enter the list in the coming years.  This represents the Columbus region’s growing influence in the state and how its share of the state’s population continues to increase.

Top 30 Ohio Cities with the Highest Total Growth Census 2010 to July 1, 2019
1. Columbus: +111,520
2. Hilliard: +8,099
3. Dublin: +7,286
4. Cincinnati: +6,997
5. Delaware: +6,530
6. Grove City: +6,245
7. Westerville: +4,983
8. North Ridgeville: +4,927
9. Pickerington: +3,867
10. New Albany: +3,209
11. Mason: +3,158
12. Newark: +2,742
13. Marysville: +2,573
14. Beavercreek: +2,548
15. Wadsworth: +2,479
16. Reynoldsburg: +2,434
17. Gahanna: +2,235
18. Avon: +2,206
19. Harrison: +1,999
20. Sunbury: +1,978
21. Avon Lake: +1,923
22. Powell: +1,875
23. Grandview Heights: +1,797
24. Oxford: +1,739
25. Lancaster: +1,725
26. Canal Winchester: +1,717
27. Upper Arlington: +1,595
28. Monroe: +1,573
29. Fairborn: +1,524
30. Springboro: +1,522

The Columbus Metro had 18 of the top 30, including 8 of the top 10.



Top 30 Ohio Cites with the Highest Total Growth July 1, 2018 to July 1, 2019
1. Columbus: +7,684
2. Cincinnati: +1,663
3. Delaware: +1,356
4. Pickerington: +932
5. Westerville: +771
6. Youngstown: +609
7. North Ridgeville: +580
8. Sunbury: +483
9. Marysville: +471
10. Dublin: +443
11. Beavercreek: +415
12. Warren: +381
13. Newark: +314
14. Wadsworth: +291
15. Mason: +290
16. Harrison: +274
17. Grove City: +247
18. Oxford: +239
19. Miamisburg: +231
20. Troy: +229
21. Canal Winchester: +220
22. Xenia: +219
23. Cedarville: +209
24. Hilliard: +201
25. Fairborn: +182
26. Piqua: +182
27. Avon: +170
28. Plain City: +168
29. Aurora: +157
30. Springboro: +157

2018 to 2019, Columbus had 12 cities in the top 30, a lower number than the average of the decade. This is not necessarily indicating a slowdown in growth within the metro, however. The final year before a decennial census, population estimates tend to be used for final adjustments. This means that if a city is thought to have been estimated too high or too low through the decade, the final estimate year is adjusted accordingly and not necessarily according to true growth. The point of estimates is to get a snapshot of the population at the time of the estimate, but they are constantly being changed every time a new estimate comes out. This usually leaves the final estimate year as showing the slowest growth. This was true for 2008-2009 as well.

Finally, here is every Columbus Metro community ranked and the population change 2010-2019.
1. Columbus: 898,533 +111,520
2. Newark: 50,315 +2,742
3. Dublin: 49,037 +7,286
4. Grove City: 41,820 +6,245
5. Delaware: 41,283 +6,530
6. Westerville: 41,103 +4,983
7. Lancaster: 40,505 +1,725
8. Reynoldsburg: 38,327 +2,434
9. Hilliard: 36,534 +8,099
10. Gahanna: 35,483 +2,235
11. Upper Arlington: 35,366 +1,595
12. Marysville: 24,667 +2,573
13. Pickerington: 22,158 +3,867
14. Whitehall: 18,926 +864
15. Pataskala: 15,883 +921
16. Worthington: 14,692 +1,117
17. Circleville: 14,050 +736
18. Bexley: 13,770 +713
19. Powell: 13,375 +1,875
20. New Albany: 10,933 +3,209
21. Heath: 10,942 +632
22. London: 10,328 +424
23. Canal Winchester: 8,818 +1,717
24. Grandview Heights: 8,333 +1,797
25. Logan: 7,020 -132
26. Sunbury: 6,367 +1,978
27. Granville: 5,916 +270
28. Groveport: 5,621 +258
29. Obetz: 5,196 +664
30. Johnstown: 5,098 +466
31. New Lexington: 4,671 -60
32. Plain City: 4,586 +361
33. West Jefferson: 4,431 +209
34. Ashville: 4,385 +288
35. Baltimore: 3,004 +38
36. Buckeye Lake: 2,871 +125
37. Crooksville: 2,482 -52
38. Richwood: 2,480 +251
39. Hebron: 2,477 +141
40. Utica: 2,260 +128
41. Cardington: 2,071 +24
42. South Bloomfield: 1,979 +235
43. Roseville: 1,839 -13
44. Lithopolis: 1,796 +690
45. Mount Sterling: 1,793 +11
46. Commercial Point: 1,679 +97
47. Ashley: 1,608 +278
48. Somerset: 1,455 -26
49. Bremen: 1,452 +27
50. Minerva Park: 1,321 +49
51. Hanover: 1,204 +283
52. Millersport: 1,074 +30
53. Williamsport: 1,074 +51
54. Thornville: 1,008 +17
55. Urbancrest: 993 +33
56. Pleasantville: 959 -1
57. Milford Center: 902 +110
58. New Holland: 851 +50
59. Shawnee Hills: 820 +139
60. Junction City: 805 -14
61. Ostrander: 749 +106
62. Galena: 742 +89
63. Amanda: 738 +1
64. Marble Cliff: 732 +159
65. New Straitsville: 710 -12
66. Shawnee: 642 -13
67. Valleyview: 638 +18
68. Thurston: 604 +0
69. Corning: 568 -15
70. Buchtel: 567 +9
71. Carroll: 566 +42
72. Riverlea: 565 +20
73. Stoutsvlle: 565: +5
74. Kirkersville: 552 +27
75. Alexandria: 542 +25
76. Laurelville: 503 -24
77. Edison: 443 +6
78. Murray City: 435 -14
79. Sugar Grove: 426 +0
80. Hartford: 410 +13
81. St. Louisville: 386 +13
82. South Solon: 364 +9
83. Harrisburg: 341 +21
84. Marengo: 341 -1
85. Midway: 328 +1
86. Rushville: 309 +7
87. Magnetic Springs: 298 +30
88. Tarlton: 290 +8
89. Orient: 277 -1
90. Fulton: 255 -3
91. Lockbourne: 249 +12
92. Chesterville: 232 +4
93. Darbyville: 229 +7
94. Unionville Center: 229 -4
95. Gratiot: 220 -1
96. Glenford: 169 -4
97. Sparta: 160 -1
98. Hemlock: 152 -3
99. West Rushville: 143 +9
100. Brice: 120 +6
101. Rendville: 36 +0

Out of the 101 communities of any size in the Metro, 81 of them have either steady populations or estimated growth since 2010. Most of the 20 that have shown declines are very small communities in the Appalachia counties of Perry and Hocking, the furthest removed from Columbus’ influence.