Columbus Economy February 2022

Columbus economy February 2022

The Columbus economy in February 2022 continued its slow recovery from the Covid pandemic crash of 2020. Let’s break it down.

Overall Metro Area February 2022 and Change from February 2021
Labor Force: 1,126,967 +9,435
Employed: 1,085,393 +27,948
Unemployed: 41,574 -18,513
Unemployment Rate: 3.7% -1.7
Total Non-Farm Jobs: 1,102,000 +25,400

Overall Metro Area February 2022 and Change from February 2020 (Pre-Pandemic)
Labor Force: 1,126,967 +10,719
Employed: 1,085,393 +13,820
Unemployed: 41,574 -3,101
Unemployment Rate: 3.7% -0.3
Total Non-Farm Jobs: 1,102,000 -9,400
In most categories, the metro area overall has fully recovered to levels just before the pandemic crash- and has improved upon most metrics. Non-farm jobs is the only area that has not yet fully recovered.

Now let’s view the results by industry.

Mining/Logging/Construction
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

42,500————41,000———44,400
The construction industry (Columbus doesn’t have a significant mining or logging industry) has surpassed pre-Covid levels.

Manufacturing
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

73,000———–71,700———-72,600
Manufacturing hasn’t fully recovered, but appears likely to within the next few months.

Trade/Transportation/Utilities
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

215,600———-222,800———234,900
This industry has gone well past pre-pandemic levels is one of the strongest performing in the metro area.

Information
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

16,500———–15,200———-16,500
Information has fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, but only just. It remains to be seen how much further it will improve as the industry had been losing jobs steadily since the end of 2018.

Financial Activities
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

85,900———–85,000———-84,600
Unlike other industries, financial activities did not drop significantly during the crash. It did fully recover all lost jobs by November of 2021, but has slid some since.

Professional and Business Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022
178,800———-176,500———175,400
As with the Financial Activities sector, this industry did fully recover by the fall of 2021, but is now lagging a bit.

Education and Health Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

165,100———-158,500———159,700
Although recovering slowly and ahead of last year, this industry has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. Part of the reason for this may have been the mass resignations within the health industry due to burnout from stress.

Leisure and Hospitality
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022
106,800———-87,200———-96,500
This industry was arguably hit the hardest of any during the pandemic crash (jobs fell by nearly 50%), and in many cases has struggled to fill existing jobs as the economy has improved. Still, trends suggest that the industry will be fully recovered by this summer.

Other Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

41,900———–38,800———-40,400
Another industry that will likely be fully recovered by summer or early fall.

Government
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

185,300———-179,900———177,000
As the state capital, Columbus has always been heavy in this industry. However, for whatever reason, government jobs just haven’t been coming back as much and may not recover fully until sometime next year.

While the overall metro has largely recovered, several industries have not. However, most are trending towards passing pre-pandemic levels by this summer- barring any other economic problems from Covid or global events.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics, the source of this data, is useful for local employment data for any metro area in the United States.



Columbus’ 2020 Economic Performance




Columbus' 2020 economic performance

As with everywhere else in the country, Columbus has not gone unscathed by the Covid-19 pandemic and its related economic fallout.  Just how bad did the situation get, though, and how was Columbus’ 20202 economic performance overall? Has it recovered since reaching pandemic bottom?

To find out, we’ll look at the latest economic data ending in January 2021.

First, here are the historic and current Ohio Covid-19 numbers.

Covid 19 Cases and Deaths in Ohio


In Ohio, the pandemic generally began in early January, though Ohio didn’t originally announce any cases until the end of February.

March 2020 marked the official beginning of the pandemic. It was on March 11th, 2020, however, that truly brought out the seriousness of the situation. On that day, multiple news stories all happened simultaneously. The WHO finally declared the situation a pandemic, state and local shutdowns began, Trump gave a national televised address announcing travel bans to Europe, and the stock market had one of its largest drops in history. The pile of bad news would begin affecting the economy almost immediately.

In Ohio, cases and deaths also began to add up quickly in March. As stay-at-home orders were issued and people stopped going out, there were mass layoffs across every industry of the economy.

So how was this all reflected in the economic data?

Columbus Metro Labor Force

The metro’s labor force was initially unfazed and reached peak in February 2020, slightly higher than the 2019 peak. However, March lost more than 20,000 from the labor force and April lost almost 36,000 more.
The losses were mostly temporary, with a new peak being reached in October. However, the labor forced declined going into the late fall and winter as the 3rd- and worst- wave hit.

Columbus Metro Total Employed and Unemployed


Employed totals were hit far harder than the labor force overall. More than 158K fewer people were employed in April versus February, a nearly 15% drop. Total employed has gone up since the bottom, but was still below the pre-Covid peak through January 2021.

Columbus Metro Unemployment Rate

The 13% unemployment in April was one of the highest outside of the Great Depression and nearly 4 points higher than the 2009-2010 recession. Unemployment fell through the end of 2020, but remained higher that pre-Covid levels.
Columbus’ unemployment rate was a full point below the national average in January, a sign of its continuing economic resilience even during some of the worst economic conditions in generations.

Columbus Metro Non-Farm Jobs

Non-farm jobs in the metro area had peaked in November 2019 and had been declining even before the pandemic set in. Between February and April, 2020, 150,000 non-farm jobs were lost in the metro. As of January 2021, the metro was still short about 71,000 from the 2019 peak.



Now let’s take a closer look at how individual industries have performed.

Columbus Jobs by Industry

While the mining/logging/construction group did manage to get close to pre-Covid levels, it has been in general decline since last September, likely due to the 3rd wave that began in October.


Manufacturing, surprisingly, has recovered completely, and jobs in the industry continued to rise through the 3rd wave.


This industry group has also recovered fairly well, being close to where it was pre-Covid.


Information jobs were already in a long-term decline before the pandemic, but still faced a steep drop during the spring. Those lost jobs have not come back.


Financial activities jobs did not seem to face a significant decline, and have mostly recovered.


Professional and business services jobs were hit relatively hard during the economic collapse, and have only managed to recover about half of the losses through January.


Another hard-hit industry group, the majority of the losses in the Health/Education group probably stem from the education side given that in-person schools have been mostly shut down the past year. Still, the industry group had recovered about 2/3rds of the losses through January.


Government jobs typically see a significant mid-year drop, but it was much more severe in 2020. This category has not yet recovered fully.


Other services jobs are typically pretty steady year over year and don’t see large changes. Obviously they did during the downturn, however. They have mostly recovered, although seemingly at a readjusted lower level.


The leisure and hospitality industry was absolutely devastated, losing nearly 50% of all jobs. It has recovered some, but January still featured the fewest jobs in the industry since February 2003.

The Conclusion
So as we can see, recovery for some industries is *far* better than others. Service industries have done much worse overall and continue to be below pre-Covid levels. This is not really all that surprising when restaurants, bars and other entertainment spots have faced the brunt of hardship. It remains to be seen how everything from economic stimulus packages to vaccination rates affect 2021, but it’s hard to imagine anything worse than last year.

To get more local and national economic data, check out The Bureau of Labor Statistics