2020 Downtown Population Growth




2020 downtown population growth Columbus, Ohio

With the latest US Census data for 2020, we can once again take a closer look at how the Downtown area is doing.


Looking at the graph above, we can see that the Downtown population peaked in 1950 and declined through 2000. The last 20 years have seen accelerating growth and the population was the highest in 2020 since 1970. One caveat with this is that the census tract boundaries that are used to make up this graph have changed some over the years. They haven’t changed significantly, but the area that’s being covered in 2020 is slightly different than it was in 1950. As such, it’s more of an approximation per year rather than exact figures based on the exact same area. Still, the rapid decline after 1950 is well-documented. Highways were either being planned or already under construction through the neighborhood during the 1950s, and this also helped the beginning stages of the suburban flight from the urban core.

The urban core of the city overall reached its population peak in 1950, and the 1950 boundaries represent the oldest, arguably most urban part of the city today. Let’s examine how the population within that boundary changed over the same time.

The 1950 boundary peaked in 1960 and then declined through 2010. Between 2010-2020, the 1950 boundary area gained more than 22,000 new residents, a significant increase which puts the area back to where it was around 1995.

So in both cases, the urban core of Columbus is in recovery, though it is unlikely to ever regain its 1950 population. Average household size is much smaller now than it was 70 years ago, so it would require a massive amount of infill that would be far denser than much of what is getting built in recent years. Outdated zoning codes, among other reasons, have been limiting many projects in the urban core from reaching their potential.



Breaking things down a bit further, let’s look at the census tracts that made up the 1950 boundary in 2020 and rank them for population and growth.

1950 Boundary Census Tracts by Population Rank 2010 and 2020
2010————————————2020

1. 1121: 7,300——————–1. 1121: 12,131
2. 13: 6,583———————–2. 49: 5,686
3. 10: 5,830———————–3. 10: 5,613
4. 49: 5,651———————–4. 12: 5,201
5. 43: 5,613———————–5. 47: 5,138
6. 50: 5,205———————–6. 45: 5,048
7. 45: 5,154———————–7. 1810: 4,324
8. 47: 4,971———————–8. 22: 4,279
9. 12: 4,822———————–9. 4002: 4,245
10. 1810: 4,434—————–10. 30: 4,189
11. 55: 4,228———————11. 5: 4,187
12. 5: 4,057———————–12. 220: 4,186
13. 26: 4,028———————13. 1902: 4,063
14. 6: 3,780———————–14. 55: 4,062
15. 220: 3,727——————–15. 1901: 4,059
16. 1110: 3,688——————-16. 17: 3,994
17. 57: 3,629———————-17. 26: 3,920
18. 1902: 3,410——————-18. 6: 3,839
19. 910: 3,409———————19. 1110: 3,751
20. 4610: 3,368——————-20. 57: 3,715
21. 110: 3,344———————21. 910: 3,693
22. 37: 3,303———————-22. 730: 3,629
23. 20: 3,252———————-23: 32: 3,500
24. 120: 3,162———————24. 4301: 3,532
25. 1122: 3,159——————–25. 110: 3,489
26. 310: 3,147———————-26. 37: 3,389
27. 420: 3,139———————-27. 310: 3,377
28. 820: 3,121———————-28. 710: 3,339
29. 30: 3,105———————–29. 2760: 3,331
30. 710: 3,102———————30. 420: 3,316
31. 730: 3,090———————31. 4610: 3,298
32. 2760: 3,066——————-32. 1122: 3,268
33. 53: 3,054———————–33. 20: 3,259
34. 40: 2,941———————–34. 120: 3,220
35: 210: 2,935———————35. 820: 3,193
36. 4810: 2,891——————-36. 2510: 3,144
37. 2510: 2,856——————-37. 52: 3,125
38. 17: 2,704———————–38. 5002: 3,095
39. 4620: 2,659——————–39. 210: 3,049
40. 2520: 2,648——————–40. 1302: 3,039
41. 28: 2,629————————41. 4810: 2,929
42. 4820: 2,589———————42. 1301: 2,903
43. 810: 2,540———————–43. 29: 2,887
44. 410: 2,419———————–44. 2520: 2,784
45. 320: 2,390———————–45. 810: 2,747
46. 720: 2,384———————–46. 5810: 2,719
47. 330: 2,314———————–47. 4820: 2,685
48. 1820: 2,598———————-48. 53: 2,676
49. 52: 2,584————————-49. 4620: 2,609
50. 5810: 2,548———————-50. 720: 2,583
51. 59: 2,546————————-51. 2750: 2,554
52. 2780: 2,423———————-52. 51: 2,548
53. 61: 2,398————————-53. 61: 2,534
54. 29: 2,368————————-54. 320: 2,505
55. 2750: 2,349———————-55. 1820: 2,478
56. 60: 2,345————————-56. 28: 2,461
57. 2740: 2,316———————-57. 21: 2,456
58. 5820: 2,230———————-58. 2740: 2,447
59. 5420: 2,151———————-59. 410: 2,439
60. 32: 2,147————————-60. 330: 2,427
61. 2730: 2,104———————-61. 5620: 2,422
62. 920: 2,069————————62. 16: 2,399
63. 15: 2,031————————-63. 59: 2,365
64. 1901: 2,031———————-64. 2780: 2,353
65. 2770: 1,995———————-65. 2770: 2,300
66. 51: 1,928————————–66. 60: 2,224
67. 38: 1,896————————–67. 920: 2,209
68. 2710: 1,858———————-68. 2730: 2,183
69. 22: 1,851————————-69. 5820: 2,127
70. 21: 1,808————————-70. 38: 2,105
71. 5610: 1,784———————-71. 15: 2,092
72. 16: 1,682————————-72. 5420: 2,082
73. 14: 1,543————————-73. 36: 2,039
74. 23: 1,453————————-74. 2710: 1,908
75. 36: 1,442————————-75. 4302: 1,740
76. 42: 1,370————————-76. 5001: 1,647
77. 5410: 1,362———————-77. 5610: 1,646                                                           ———————————————78. 14: 1,531
——————————————79. 23: 1,503
——————————————80. 5410: 1,418
——————————————81. 4001: 1,253 
——————————————82. 42: 1,107
The color coding is Green: Growing since 2010, Red: Declining since 2010, and Pink: New Tracts that did not exist in 2010. New tracts: 13 became 1301 and 1302, 40 became 4001 and 4002, 43 became 4301 and 4302, 50 became 5001 and 5002.

Top 10 Fastest-Growing 1950 Boundary Census Tracts by Total 2010-2020
1. 1121: +4,831
The tract is the main OSU Campus. The explosive growth is mostly due to the recent requirement that sophomores also have to now live on Campus, prompting thousands of students to move to the tract from nearby neighborhoods.
2. 4002: +2,592
This new tract was split off of Tract 40 and includes the southwest area of Downtown, including RiverSouth.
3. 22: +2,428
This tract is the heart of Italian Village and includes the large, new Jeffrey Park development.
4. 1901: +2,028
Includes the 5th Avenue corridor to just east of 5thxNW.
5. 32: +1,353
This tract covers the southern part of Victorian Village/Harrison West, as well as the far western sections of the Arena District where the new White Castle HQ complex is.
6. 17: +1,290
Western Weinland Park, which has seen rapid revitalization in recent years.
7. 30: +1,084
This area includes all of the norther half of Downtown north of Broad Street and west to Neil Avenue in the Arena District.
8. 16: +717
Eastern Weinland Park, which has seen hundreds of new housing units constructed along and near Grant Avenue.
9. 1902: +653
Includes the 5th Avenue corridor through 5thxNW.
10. 21: +648
The heart of the High Street strip in the Short North continued to add people. It reached its highest population in 60 years.

Top 10 Tracts with the Highest Population Densities in 2020
1. 1121: 34,888.8
2. 1810: 28,351.1
3. 1302: 24,740.7
4. 1301: 20,549.1
5. 17: 20,158.6
6. 12: 20,069.6
7. 1110: 18,353.2
8. 10: 16,260.2
9. 16: 12,675.6
10. 21: 12,196.7
All of these tracts are either in the Short North or surrounding Ohio State’s campus. They include the highest densities anywhere in Ohio.

So there you have it. The urban core of Columbus is clearly on a positive path. So long as infill development continues, population growth should also continue to increase. Perhaps someday, this increasing population and density may facilitate the construction of more amenities, including rail lines, BRT and more biking infrastructure, all of which lags in the area.
To see Census Tract data in map form, the Census Tract Maps page provides it.



2020 Population of Ohio Counties




2020 population of Ohio counties

Continuing with the latest data dump, we’ll look at 2020 populations of Ohio counties.

Top 30 Largest Counties by Population by Year
Census 2010——————————–Census 2020
1. Cuyahoga: 1,280,122—————–1. Franklin: 1,323,807
2. Franklin: 1,163,414——————–2. Cuyahoga: 1,264,817
3. Hamilton: 802,374———————3. Hamilton: 830,639
4. Summit: 541,781———————–4. Summit: 540,428
5. Montgomery: 535,153—————–5. Montgomery: 537,309
6. Lucas: 441,815————————-6. Lucas: 431,279
7. Stark: 375,586————————–7. Butler: 390,357
8. Butler: 368,130————————-8. Stark: 374,853
9. Lorain: 301,356————————-9. Lorain: 312,964
10. Mahoning: 238,823—————–10. Warren: 242,337
11. Lake: 230,041————————11. Lake: 232,603
12. Warren: 212,693———————12. Mahoning: 228,614
13. Trumbull: 210,312——————-13. Delaware: 214,124
14. Clermont: 197,363——————-14. Clermont: 208,601
15. Delaware: 174,214——————-15. Trumbull: 201,977
16. Medina: 172,332———————-16. Medina: 182,470
17. Licking: 166,492———————–17. Licking: 178,519
18. Greene: 161,573———————-18. Greene: 167,966
19. Portage: 161,419———————-19. Portage: 161,791
20. Fairfield: 146,156———————-20. Fairfield: 158,921
21. Clark: 138,333————————–21. Clark: 136,001
22. Wood: 125,488————————-22. Wood: 132,248
23. Richland: 124,475———————23. Richland: 124,936
24. Wayne: 114,520————————24. Wayne: 116,894
25. Columbiana: 107,841—————–25. Miami: 108,774
26. Allen: 106,331————————–26. Allen: 102,206
27. Miami: 102,506————————-27. Columbiana: 101,877
28. Ashtabula: 101,497——————-28. Ashtabula: 97,574
29. Geauga: 93,389———————–29. Geauga: 95,397
30. Tuscarawas: 92,582——————30. Tuscarawas: 93,263

Franklin County moved into the top spot to be the state’s most populated county.

Top 20 Fastest-Growing Counties by Total Growth 2010-2020
1. Franklin: +160,393
2. Delaware: +39,910
3. Warren: +29,644
4. Hamilton: +28,265
5. Butler: +22,227
6. Fairfield: +12,765
7. Licking: +12,027
8. Lorain: +11,608
9. Clermont: +11,238
10. Union: +10,484
11. Medina: +10,138
12. Wood: +6,760
13. Greene: +6,393
14. Miami: +6,268
15. Pickaway: +2,841
16. Lake: +2,562
17. Wayne: +2,374
18. Montgomery: +2,156
19. Geauga: +2,008
20. Holmes: +1,857

Franklin blew away the competition, adding more than 4x as many people as 2nd place Delaware County. Delaware County may be called the state’s fastest-growing by percent, but it’s clear what the dominant destination is in Ohio.



Top 20 Shrinking Counties by Total Decline 2010-2020
1. Cuyahoga: -15,305
2. Lucas: -10,536
3. Mahoning: -10,209
4. Trumbull: -8,335
5. Columbiana: -5,964
6. Scioto: -5,491
7. Jefferson: -4,460
8. Lawrence: -4,210
9. Allen: -4,125
10. Ashtabula: -3,923
11. Belmont: -3,903
12. Athens: -2,326
13. Carroll: -2,115
14. Sandusky: -2,048
15. Washington: -2,007
16. Crawford: -1,759
17. Gallia: -1,714
18. Seneca: -1,676
19. Guernsey: -1,649
20. Pike: -1,621

Core counties in Northern Ohio, as well as pretty much all of Appalachia and rural counties saw large population losses. This pattern of urban/metro counties gaining while exurban and rural counties declined was repeated nationally. 52% of all US counties lost population, with the vast majority of them being exurban and rural. There was clearly a strong trend towards people moving to or near major cities.

All US counties can be found at 2020 Census Population and Housing Map, while Franklin County historic population and demographic data is located at the Franklin County page.



2020 Census Metro Area Comparison




After a very long delay, the 2020 Census data has arrived! In this first series of related posts, we will compared Columbus to national peer and Midwest metro areas.  Metros used here are those that were within 1.5-2.5 million in either 2010 or 2020, as well as Midwest metros of 500,000 or more in either 2010 or 2020, and all Ohio metros.

Total Population by Metro Area by Year
Green metros moved up in the rankings 2010-2020 and red moved down.

Rank

2010

2020

1

Chicago: 9,461,105

Chicago: 9,618,502

2

Detroit: 4,296,250

Detroit: 4,392,041

3

Minneapolis: 3,346,859

Minneapolis: 3,690,261

4

St. Louis: 2,787,701

St. Louis: 2,820,253

5

Pittsburgh: 2,356,285

Orlando: 2,673,376

6

Charlotte: 2,243,960

Charlotte: 2,660,329

7

Portland: 2,226,009

San Antonio: 2,558,143

8

Sacramento: 2,149,127

Portland: 2,512,859

9

San Antonio: 2,142,508

Sacramento: 2,379,382

10

Cincinnati: 2,137,667

Pittsburgh: 2,370,930

11

Orlando: 2,134,411

Austin: 2,283,371

12

Cleveland: 2,077,240

Las Vegas: 2,265,461

13

Kansas City: 2,009,240

Cincinnati: 2,256,884

14

Las Vegas: 1,951,269

Kansas City: 2,192,035

15

Columbus: 1,901,974

Columbus: 2,138,926

16

Indianapolis: 1,887,877

Indianapolis: 2,111,040

17

San Jose: 1,836,911

Cleveland: 2,088,251

18

Austin: 1,716,289

San Jose: 2,000,251

19

Virginia Beach: 1,713,954

Nashville: 1,989,519

20

Nashville: 1,646,200

Virginia Beach: 1,799,674

21

Providence: 1,600,852

Providence: 1,676,579

22

Milwaukee: 1,555,908

Jacksonville: 1,605,848

23

Jacksonville: 1,345,596

Milwaukee: 1,574,731

24

Grand Rapids: 993,670

Grand Rapids: 1,087,592

25

Omaha: 865,350

Omaha: 967,604

26

Dayton: 799,232

Dayton: 809,248

27

Akron: 703,200

Des Moines: 707,915

28

Toledo: 651,429

Akron: 701,449

29

Wichita: 623,061

Madison: 670,447

30

Des Moines: 606,475

Wichita: 643,768

31

Madison: 605,435

Toledo: 641,549

32

Youngstown: 565,773

Lansing: 548,248

33

Lansing: 534,684

Youngstown: 531,420

34

Canton: 404,422

Canton: 396,669

Columbus largely held its own in the rankings this decade, but it poised to eventually pass a few of the metros currently ahead of it.

Total Metro Growth by Metro 2010-2020
1. Austin: +567,082
2. Orland: +538,965
3. Charlotte: +416,369
4. San Antonio: +415,635
5. Minneapolis: +343,402
6. Nashville: +343,319
7. Las Vegas: +314,192
8. Portland: +286,850
9. Jacksonville: +260,252
10. Sacramento: +248,255
11. Columbus: +236,952
12. Indianapolis: +223,163
13. Kansas City: +182,693
14. San Jose: +163,557
15. Chicago: +157,397
16. Cincinnati: +119,217
17. Omaha: +102,254
18. Des Moines: +101,440
19. Detroit: +95,791
20. Grand Rapids: +93,922
21. Virginia Beach: +85,720
22. Providence: +75,727
23. Madison: +65,012
24. St. Louis: +32,552
25. Wichita: +20,707
26. Milwaukee: +18,823
27. Pittsburgh: +14,645
28. Lansing: +13,564
29. Cleveland: +11,011
30. Dayton: +10,016
31. Akron: -1,751
32. Canton: -7,753
33. Toledo: -9,880
34. Youngstown: -34,353

Columbus had the 2nd highest growth in the Midwest after Minneapolis, and is growing much faster than 3 metros currently ranked ahead of it- Cincinnati, Kansas City and Pittsburgh- which it will likely pass at some point in the future. For Cincinnati, for example, current growth rates would suggest Columbus will pass it sometime around 2027. In any event, Columbus’ metro growth was the highest in its history, and about 10,000 more than occurred during the 2000s.

Data related to metro components of growth, such as immigration and deaths vs. births, have yet to be released. Those should come out sometime next month, and will be posted here when they do.



Before and After Franklinton




Before and after Franklinton Columbus, Ohio

Franklinton has been known as The Bottoms for many years, mainly because the low-lying neighborhood has seen flooding more often than anywhere else in the city. With the completion of the Franklinton Floodwall nearly 20 years ago, the neighborhood has been seeing redevelopment at an ever-increasing pace. This Before and After of the neighborhood only covers some of the changes, and another similar post detailing more changes will most likely be needed.

Before: COSI Parking Lot in 2009

This large parking lot had once been part of Central High School’s campus and was originally the site of the schools track and athletic fields. After the school closed in the early 1980s, the area was converted to a large parking lot. It continued its life as parking when COSI moved from Downtown to a new facility in the converted school. When plans for the Scioto Peninsula to be redeveloped emerged, it was decided to turn the parking lot into a brand new park.
After: New Park in 2020

The parking was not actually lost, however. An underground garage was constructed beneath the park itself, which is now called Dorian Green. New development, which will include offices, retail and hundreds of new residences, can be seen under construction in the background.

Before: Veterans Memorial in 2011

The old Veterans Memorial was constructed in the mid-1950s. Over the subsequent decades, the building was renovated and expanded multiple times. By the 2000s, the building was considered outdated with a convoluted layout. Despite some objections, it was decided that the complex would be torn down and replaced with a new veterans center.
After: National Veterans Memorial and Museum in 2020

The new building had a far more modern, almost futuristic design, like something out of an X-Men movie. The new building was to remain a veterans memorial with office and event space, but also serve as a museum. It was eventually given the status of being the National Veterans Memorial, the only one of its kind in the nation.

Before: 500 West Broad Street in 2011

Back in 2011, 500 W. Broad was a collection of small businesses, most notably Wasserstrom restaurant supply. This stretch of Broad was unremarkable and a more modern remnant of urban renewal during the mid-20th Century.
After: 500 West Broad in 2020

Today, the first phase of the Gravity development occupies the entire stretch. This unique mixed-use development contains, among other things, apartments, retail space, community art and activity space for its residents. Directly across the street, the 2nd- and much larger- phase of Gravity is currently under construction.

Before: A.D. Farrow Harley Davidson in 2012

A century after the business was established, this Harley Davidson sales shop just down the street from Gravity looked out of date. Half the site was also a parking lot that fronted Broad Street.
After: A.D. Farrow Harley Davidson in 2020

In 2020, the business was engaged in a significant remodel and expansion. Local business investments such as this have been on the rise in Franklinton in recent years, especially east of 315.

Before: 524 West Broad in 2009

This site had been used as a car lot for some time. The original buildings had been demolished in the early 1960s,
replaced with surface parking.
After: 524 West Broad in 2020

Today the site is home to Franklinton Station, a lower-income residential complex for seniors.



Before: West Rich Street at the Railroad Crossing, looking west in 2009

This view of West Rich Street shows how the area had been in decline, with abandoned buildings on the right and run-down public housing on the left that had seen little investment since its construction in the early 1960s.
After: West Rich Street at the Railroad Crossing, looking west in 2020

Today, this section of Rich Street looks like a completely different place. Buildings have been renovated and old housing has been replaced with the much more dense River & Rich mixed-use development. The new complex contains retail space and residences that retain affordable housing. Another phase of the River & Rich development is in the works that may eventually include a new residential tower.

Before: 548 West State Street in 2011

The site at 548 W. State had been vacant for a number of years, with the original development having been demolished. By 2011, it was overgrown with weeds.
After: 548 West State Street in 2020

In 2020, the site had a brand new mixed-use building containing 13 apartments and retail space. The mural also contributes to Franklinton becoming more of an arts location as the previous arts destination, the Short North, becomes ever more expensive.

Before: Mount Carmel West in 2015

Mount Carmel West Hospital had been a dominant fixture in Franklinton for more than a century. It was originally known as Hawkes Hospital and constructed in 1886, becoming Mount Carmel in the 20th Century. However, by the 2010s, the location was deemed to be less optimal and so most of the services were moved to a new hospital in Grove City. The fate of the old hospital was sealed and a plan was drawn up to redevelop the entire site.
After: Mount Carmel West in 2020

By 2020, the main hospital was no more. The only structures that will remain include the nurse’s college and several parking garages. The site will be redeveloped with mixed-use projects including residential, retail and office space over the next several years.

Before: Hawkes Avenue, looking south from Chapel Street in 2009

Hawkes Avenue was a typical Franklinton street by the late 2000s, with its vacant lots, abandoned buildings and poorly-maintained infrastructure.
After: Hawkes Avenue, looking south from Chapel Street in 2019

Infill housing has been gradually becoming more common throughout Franklinton, as well as home renovations and general reinvestment in infrastructure by the City. Hawkes Avenue has been a beneficiary, and now looks better than it has in many years.

Franklinton has come a long way in just a few years, and the neighborhood is poised to only continue to change even more drastically in the near future. Many new projects are either under construction or have been recently proposed. Future phases of the Scioto Peninsula redevelopment will only spur additional development and growth westward. Whether Franklinton can revitalize without driving out too many of its existing residents remains somewhat of an open question.



Cool Link: Columbus Property Tax Abatement Map




Columbus property tax abatement map

Around Columbus and Franklin County, tax incentives and abatements are granted to properties either for new development or to encourage improvements to existing buildings. Most of these incentives are given to properties in urban neighborhoods that have suffered from a lack of investment. However, in recent years, studies have shown that the distribution of them is both uneven and highly controversial, often going to rich developers in already well-established neighborhoods rather than those that need them the most. The link of the Columbus property tax abatement map provides both descriptions of the types of tax incentives used locally, as well as a map that shows what properties get what incentives and how much they amount to.

Franklin County Tax Incentives

In addition to abatements and incentives, TIFs, or Tax Increment Financing, uses targeted tax collection in specific areas to make improvements within said districts. Unlike tax abatements/incentives, TIFs can be found almost anywhere, and are regularly used in both suburban and urban neighborhoods, and are not always tied to improving declined areas.

Franklin County TIFs