Housing Market Update November 2013



housing market update November 2013 Columbus, Ohio

November home sales were down in Central Ohio for the 2nd straight month according to the Housing Market Update November 2013 data from Columbus Realtors. One main reason seems to be the culprit: There just aren’t enough houses to go around. Hot urban markets simply have a limited stock of homes with very few going up for sale at any one time, and builders still have not been building very much since the recession. Combined, the total number of homes for sale has declined to levels not seen since the early 2000s. This explains why most markets are still seeing gains in home prices while overall sales have fallen from the year before.

The bottom line is that demand is outpacing supply, and that situation doesn’t look to change anytime soon, especially in the urban core.

Here are the stats for the 21 major areas of Franklin County that I look at housing stats for.

Top 10 November 2013 Sales Totals
1. Columbus: 701
2. Dublin: 52
3. Clintonville: 49
4. Gahanna: 38
5. Upper Arlington: 38
6. Hilliard: 36
7. Reynoldsburg: 36
8. Grove City: 35
9. Westerville: 31
10. Canal Winchester: 20

Top 10 November 2013 Sales Increases over November 2012
1. Downtown: +50.0%
2. Grandview Heights: +14.3%
3. Clintonville: +6.5%
4. Hilliard: +5.9%
5. Minerva Park: +0.0%
6. New Albany: +0.0%
7. Obetz: +0.0%
8. Gahanna: -2.6%
9. Reynoldsburg: -5.3%
10. Grove City: -5.4%

Top 10 Year-to-Date Sales Through November 2013
1. Columbus: 9,561
2. Dublin: 747
3. Upper Arlington: 678
4. Clintonville: 656
5. Westerville: 580
6. Grove City: 568
7. Hilliard: 533
8. Gahanna: 494
9. Reynoldsburg: 466
10. Pickerington: 291

Top 10 Year-to-Date Increases Through November 2013 Over 2012
1. Minerva Park: +46.2%
2. Pataskala: +31.3%
3. Gahanna: +30.3%
4. Reynoldsburg: +28.0%
5. Whitehall: +27.3%
6. Hilliard: +27.2%
7. Clintonville: +24.2%
8. Grove City: +23.7%
9. Westerville: +23.4%
10. Bexley: +22.5%
10. Downtown: +22.5%

Average Sales November 2013
Urban: 79
Suburban: 28.7
Urban without Columbus: 16.8

Average % Change November 2013 vs. November 2012
Urban: -7.1%
Suburban: -11.6%
Urban without Columbus: -6.5%

Average YTD Sales Through November 2013
Urban: 1,097.7
Suburban: 435.9
Urban without Columbus: 251.4

Average YTD % Change YTD Through November 2013
Urban: +14.9%
Suburban: +19.9%
Urban without Columbus: +14.4%

Top 10 Average Sales Price November 2013
1. New Albany: $614,687
2. Bexley: $456,365
3. Dublin: $344,341
4. Upper Arlington: $326,913
5. Downtown: $302,464
6. Worthington: $296,328
7. German Village: $271,656
8. Grandview Heights: $257,001
9. Pataskala: $196,158
10. Hilliard: $193,756

Top 10 Average Sales Price % Change November 2013 Over November 2012
1. Worthington: +59.6%
2. Pataskala: +38.0%
3. Downtown: +36.7%
4. Bexley: +32.5%
5. Obetz: +30.8%
6. New Albany: +28.6%
7. Dublin: +21.6%
8. Whitehall: +10.1%
9. Minerva Park: +10.0%
10. Pickerington: +10.0%

Top 10 Average Sales Prices YTD Through November 2013
1. New Albany: $541,931
2. Upper Arlington: $364,369
3. Bexley: $351,282
4. Dublin: $335,164
5. German Village: $297,832
6. Downtown: $286,470
7. Worthington: $249,979
8. Grandview Heights: $226,458
9. Hilliard: $215,966
10. Gahanna: $198,612

Top 10 Average YTD Sales Price % Change Through November 2013 vs. 2012
1. Whitehall: +17.2%
2. Minerva Park: +17.1%
3. Downtown: +15.5%
4. Upper Arlington: +13.0%
5. Obetz: +12.3%
6. Gahanna: +11.6%
7. Reynoldsburg: +8.5%
8. New Albany: +8.3%
9. Worthington: +8.1%
10. Bexley: +4.9%

Average Sales Price November 2013
Urban: $227,811
Suburban: $229,942
Urban without Columbus: $238,166

Average Sales Price Change November 2012 vs. November 2012
Urban: +12.5%
Suburban: +6.0%
Urban without Columbus: +13.7%

Average Sales Price YTD
Urban: $217,072
Suburban: $223,394
Urban without Columbus: $226,041

Average Sales Price % Change YTD
Urban: +6.3%
Suburban: +4.9%
Urban without Columbus: +6.6%

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets November 2013 (Based on Average # of Days for Listings to Sell)
1. Grandview Heights: 15
2. Westerville: 38
3. Clintonville: 40
4. Upper Arlington: 44
5. Hilliard: 47
6. Bexley: 49
7. Worthington: 57
8. Whitehall: 61
9. Dublin: 62
10. Minerva Park: 65
10. Obetz: 65

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets YTD
1. Worthington: 40
2. Grandview Heights: 44
3. Upper Arlington: 45
4. Clintonville: 50
5. Westerville: 52
6. Hilliard: 54
7. Bexley: 58
8. Gahanna: 59
9. Dublin: 62
10. Grove City: 64

Average # of Days Before Sale, November 2013
Urban: 57.4
Suburban: 89.4
Urban without Columbus: 56.3

Average # of Days Before Sale YTD
Urban: 60.6
Suburban: 62.7
Urban without Columbus: 60.2

Top 10 Lowest Market Housing Supplies (Based on # of Months to Sell all Listings)
1. Worthington: 1.6
2. Upper Arlington: 2.1
3. Hilliard: 2.2
4. Minerva Park: 2.2
5. Bexley: 2.3
6. Clintonville: 2.4
7. Westerville: 2.4
8. Gahanna: 2.6
9. German Village: 2.6
10. Grandview Heights: 2.6

A healthy housing supply is considered to be around 5 months. Anything less than 3 months is considered very low. All of the 21 areas I looked at were below 5 months, indicating a county-wide shortage.

Average # of Months to Sell All Listings, November 2013
Urban: 2.8
Suburban: 3.6
Urban without Columbus: 2.7

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales November 2013 vs. November 2012
Urban: -1.7%
Suburban: -12.6%
Urban without Columbus: -0.5%

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +9.3%
Suburban: +19.4%
Urban without Columbus: +8.2%

Average % Change of Condo Sales November 2013 vs. November 2012
Urban: +23.3%
Suburban: +52.8%
Urban without Columbus: +26.6%

Average % Change of Condo Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +27.6%
Suburban: +26.4%
Urban without Columbus: +28.3%



Franklin County Home Values and Gentrification

Home values are, in part, tied to how well a neighborhood is performing. In the case of urban neighborhoods, how home values change over time may be a good indication of how that neighborhood is revitalizing. I looked at median home values by census tract for the years 2000 and 2010. Here is the map of how values changed during that period.
Franklin County home values
What the different colors indicate are different levels of performance, obviously. Yellow and oranges indicate decline, which few areas experienced. Light green, which makes up quite a bit of the suburban areas in and outside 270, indicates mostly stability or slow growth (but below average) in home values. Dark green is average to a bit above average growth. Blues and purple are high growth areas.

What the map shows it that the strongest growth in median home values occurred in the urban core neighborhoods, especially along the High Street corridor. Pockets of strong growth also occurred around Easton and sporadically in some suburban areas. What this says, particularly for the urban core, is that quite a few neighborhoods are on the rise. Grandview, Upper Arlington, the Short North, Campus, Clintonville, German and Merion Villages, the western half of Weinland Park, Downtown, and the Near East Side around Franklin Park were some of the best performing areas. This would seem to indicate that strong gentrification is taking place.



Columbus Housing Market September 2013



Columbus housing market September 2013

According to Columbus Realtors, September continued one of the Columbus area’s longest positive streaks when it came to housing sales, although sales were down a bit from earlier this year. Overall, sales were up 13.1% and prices were up 4.2%.

For the housing report, I look at the 21 major areas of the Franklin County area (11 urban, 10 suburban). Here is what the September market looked like.

Top 10 September Sales Totals
1. Columbus: 820
2. Dublin: 72
3. Westerville: 59
4. Upper Arlington: 53
5. Grove City: 49
6. Hilliard: 49
7. Clintonville: 47
8. Gahanna: 45
9. Reynoldsburg: 34
10. Canal Winchester: 29

Top 10 September Sales Increases Over September 2012
1. Whitehall: +142.9%
2. Westerville: +96.7%
3. Obetz: +66.7%
4. Canal Winchester: +38.1%
5. Reynoldsburg: +36.0%
6. Pataskala: +35.7%
7. Grove City: +32.4%
8. Gahanna: +28.6%
9. New Albany: +28.6%
10. Minerva Park: +25.0%

Top 10 Total YTD Sales Through September
1. Columbus: 8,019
2. Dublin: 636
3. Upper Arlington: 588
4. Clintonville: 554
5. Westerville: 495
6. Grove City: 487
7. Hilliard: 460
8. Gahanna: 414
9. Reynoldsburg: 381
10. Pickerington: 254

Top 10 YTD Sales Increases Through over September 2012
1. Minerva Park: +47.6%
2. Whitehall: +45.9%
3. Hilliard: +36.1%
4. Pataskala: +33.1%
5. Westerville: +33.1%
6. Bexley: +32.4%
7. Gahanna: +31.8%
8. Reynoldsburg: +31.8%
9. Clintonville: +28.5%
10. German Village: +27.6%

Average Sales September 2013
Urban: 91.6
Suburban: 39.2
Urban without Columbus: 18.8

Average % Change September 2013 vs. September 2012
Urban: +10.6%
Suburban: +30.3%
Urban without Columbus: +10.5%

Average Sales YTD Through September
Urban: 923.2
Suburban: 370.1
Urban without Columbus: 213.6

Average % Change YTD vs. YTD 2012 (Through September)
Urban: +19.2
Suburban: +24.7%
Urban without Columbus: +18.5%

Top 10 Average Sales Price September 2013
1. New Albany: $512,564
2. Upper Arlington: $402,771
3. Dublin: $359,925
4. Bexley: $293,331
5. Downtown: $259,331
6. Grandview Heights: $244,433
7. German Village: $235,557
8. Worthington: $234,716
9. Hilliard: $220,823
10. Clintonville: $206,610

Top 10 Average Sales Price % Increases vs. September 2012
1. Whitehall: +99.3%
2. Obetz: +98.1%
3. Minerva Park: +51.3%
4. Upper Arlington: +20.6%
5. New Albany: +20.2%
6. Gahanna: +18.5%
7. Dublin: +13.5%
8. Hilliard: +10.5%
9. Pickerington: +10.2%
10. Reynoldsburg: +9.4%

Top 10 Average Sales Price YTD
1. New Albany: $543,445
2. Upper Arlington: $364,187
3. Bexley: $347,444
4. Dublin: $333,741
5. German Village: $302,753
6. Downtown: $281,729
7. Worthington: $246,663
8. Grandview Heights: $222,115
9. Hilliard: $219,302
10. Gahanna: $201,444

Top 10 Average YTD Sales Price % Change vs. YTD 2012
1. Whitehall: +23.2%
2. Minerva Park: +18.2%
3. Downtown: +13.5%
4. Upper Arlington: +13.3%
5. Gahanna: +12.9%
6. Reynoldsburg: +9.6%
7. New Albany: +9.4%
8. Canal Winchester: +6.6%
9. Bexley: +6.0%
10. Worthington: +5.7%

Average Price September 2013
Urban: $210,653
Suburban: $222,473
Urban without Columbus: $219,161

Average Price % Change vs. September 2012
Urban: +23.7%
Suburban: +7.7%
Urban without Columbus: +25.9%

Average Price YTD
Urban: $215,336
Suburban: $223,809
Urban without Columbus: $224,046

Average Price % Change YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +6.2%
Suburban: +5.2%
Urban without Columbus: +6.4%

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets September (based on # of Days listings sell)
1. Worthington: 26
2. Minerva Park: 29
3. Clintonville: 34
4. Obetz: 34
5. Upper Arlington: 34
6. Hilliard: 41
7. Westerville: 42
8. New Albany: 44
9. Pickerington: 45
10. Whitehall: 45

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets YTD
1. Worthington: 37
2. Upper Arlington: 45
3. Grandview Heights: 48
4. Clintonville: 52
5. Hilliard: 53
6. Westerville: 53
7. Bexley: 58
8. Gahanna: 58
9. Dublin: 61
10. Grove City: 61

Average # of Days before Sale, September 2013
Urban: 48.0
Suburban: 51.8
Urban without Columbus: 47.1

Average # of Days before Sale, YTD
Urban: 60.7
Suburban: 61.1
Urban without Columbus: 60.3

Top 10 Lowest Housing Supplies (based on # of months to sell all listings), September 2013
1. Worthington: 1.9
2. Upper Arlington: 2.3
3. Bexley: 2.4
4. Hilliard: 2.6
5. Westerville: 2.6
6. Clintonville: 2.7
7. Grandview Heights: 2.9
8. Gahanna: 3.2
9. Dublin: 3.4
10. Whitehall: 3.7

Average # of Months to Sell All Listings
Urban: 3.5
Suburban: 4.1
Urban without Columbus: 3.4

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales, September 2013 vs. September 2012
Urban: +23.7%
Suburban: +31.0%
Urban without Columbus: +24.7%

Average % Change of Condo Sales, September 2013 vs. September 2012
Urban: -23.5%
Suburban: +48.4%
Urban without Columbus: -25.3%

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +13.0%
Suburban: +24.7%
Urban without Columbus: +11.7%

Average % Change of Condo Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +35.8%
Suburban: +26.2%
Urban without Columbus: +36.7%



Columbus Housing Market August 2013



Columbus housing market August 2013

The Columbus housing market August 2013 data from Columbus Realtors shows that the area continued hot, with record August sales and potentially a record year still in the making. For the region, sales were up 11% for August and are were up almost 23% for the first 8 months of the year.

I looked at the 21 major areas of Franklin County (11 urban, 10 suburban). Here is what the August market looked like.

Top 10 August Sales Totals
1. Columbus: 1,027
2. Upper Arlington: 82
3. Dublin: 78
4. Clintonville: 75
5. Grove City: 72
6. Hilliard: 66
7. Westerville: 61
8. Gahanna: 52
9. Worthington: 37
10. Reynoldsburg: 35

Top 10 August Sales Increases Over August 2012
1. Minerva Park: +400.0%
2. Downtown: +66.7%
3. Gahanna: +48.6%
4. Upper Arlington: +34.4%
5. German Village: +25.0%
6. Clintonville: +21.0%
7. Grove City: +20.0%
8. Westerville: +15.1%
9. Columbus: +12.6%
10. Whitehall: +12.5%

Top 10 Total YTD Sales Through August
1. Columbus: 7,149
2. Dublin: 561
3. Upper Arlington: 533
4. Clintonville: 505
5. Grove City: 437
6. Westerville: 436
7. Hilliard: 409
8. Gahanna: 369
9. Reynoldsburg: 346
10. Pickerington: 236

Top 10 YTD Sales Increases Through over August 2012
1. Minerva Park: +52.9%
2. Whitehall: +37.4%
3. Hilliard: +37.2%
4. German Village: +34.5%
5. Bexley: +33.3%
6. Gahanna: +32.3%
7. Downtown: +31.7%
8. Clintonville: +31.2%
9. Pataskala: +31.1%
10. Reynoldsburg: +31.1%

Average Sales August 2013
Urban: 121.3
Suburban: 44.9
Urban without Columbus: 30.7

Average % Change August 2013 vs. August 2012
Urban: +49.5%
Suburban: -0.3%
Urban without Columbus: +53.2%

Average Sales YTD Through July
Urban: 826.2
Suburban: 330.0
Urban without Columbus: 193.9

Average % Change YTD vs. YTD 2012 (Through August)
Urban: +21.2%
Suburban: +24.0%
Urban without Columbus: +20.6%

Top 10 Average Sales Price August 2013
1. New Albany: $563,743
2. Upper Arlington: $391,739
3. Bexley: $379,746
4. Dublin: $316,481
5. Downtown: $280,630
6. German Village: $280,037
7. Worthington: $263,934
8. Grandview Heights: $240,743
9. Hilliard: $225,476
10. Canal Winchester: $197,671

Top 10 Average Sales Price % Increases vs. August 2012
1. Canal Winchester: +32.8%
2. Bexley: +27.4%
3. Pataskala: +19.0%
4. Worthington: +18.0%
5. Upper Arlington: +14.4%
6. Reynoldsburg: +11.1%
7. Columbus: +10.4%
8. New Albany: +8.8%
9. Gahanna: +5.4%
10. Hilliard: +3.5%

Top 10 Average Sales Price YTD
1. New Albany: $546,941
2. Upper Arlington: $360,574
3. Bexley: $352,910
4. Dublin: $330,887
5. German Village: $306,121
6. Downtown: $283,942
7. Worthington: $247,084
8. Grandview Heights: $222,795
9. Hilliard: $219,123
10. Gahanna: $200,988

Top 10 Average YTD Sales Price % Change vs. YTD 2012
1. Whitehall: +16.7%
2. Downtown: +15.5%
3. Upper Arlington: +12.6%
4. Gahanna: +12.3%
5. Minerva Park: +12.2%
6. Reynoldsburg: +9.6%
7. New Albany: +8.7%
8. Canal Winchester: +7.3%
9. Bexley: +6.2%
10. Worthington: +5.1%

Average Price August 2013
Urban: $223,076
Suburban: $230,864
Urban without Columbus: $231,445

Average Price % Change vs. August 2012
Urban: +1.4%
Suburban: +6.9%
Urban without Columbus: +0.5%

Average Price YTD
Urban: $215,558
Suburban: $224,012
Urban without Columbus: $224,254

Average Price % Change YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +4.9%
Suburban: +4.9%
Urban without Columbus: +4.9%

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets August 2013 (based on # of Days listings sell)
1. Gahanna: 32
2. Obetz: 32
3. Whitehall: 36
4. Bexley: 37
5. Upper Arlington: 37
6. Clintonville: 41
7. Worthington: 41
8. Grandview Heights: 42
9. Hilliard: 43
10. Westerville: 48

Top 10 Fastest Selling Markets YTD
1. Worthington: 38
2. Upper Arlington: 45
3. Grandview Heights: 46
4. Clintonville: 54
5. Hilliard: 55
6. Westerville: 55
7. Gahanna: 58
8. Bexley: 59
9. Dublin: 60
10. Grove City: 63

Average # of Days before Sale, August 2013
Urban: 49.4
Suburban: 66.8
Urban without Columbus: 48.6

Average # of Days before Sale, YTD
Urban: 62.7
Suburban: 62.4
Urban without Columbus: 62.4

Top 10 Lowest Housing Supplies (based on # of months to sell all listings), August 2013
1. Worthington: 2.1
2. Bexley: 2.3
3. Clintonville: 2.5
4. Grandview Heights: 2.5
5. Hilliard: 2.5
6. Westerville: 2.7
7. Upper Arlington: 2.8
8. Gahanna: 3.1
9. Dublin: 3.3
10. Pickerington: 3.9

Average # of Months to Sell All Listings
Urban: 3.6
Suburban: 4.1
Urban without Columbus: 3.5

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales, August 2013 vs. August 2012
Urban: +32.0%
Suburban: -1.8%
Urban without Columbus: +34.0%

Average % Change of Condo Sales, August 2013 vs. August 2012
Urban: +65.5%
Suburban: +51.0%
Urban without Columbus: +70.3%

Average % Change of Single-Family Home Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +12.9%
Suburban: +23.8%
Urban without Columbus: +11.5%

Average % Change of Condo Sales YTD vs. YTD 2012
Urban: +44.3%
Suburban: +29.5%
Urban without Columbus: +45.8%