This link breaks down parks and other areas that have sled hills by side of the city/metro area. The list has dozens of places, so it should not be difficult to find a new favorite sledding place.
New Years weather has historically been surprisingly tranquil, with some exceptions. Highs have generally been in the 30s or 40s and significant snowfalls have been rare. The records for New Year’s climatology run back to 1878.
New Year’s Eve Normals High: 37 Low: 24 Mean: 30 Precipitation: 0.09″ Snowfall: 0.2″
New Year’s Day Normals High: 37 Low: 23 Mean: 30 Precipitation: 0.10″ Snowfall: 0.3″
Republished with data through the 2019-2020 winter.
As we go into the winter season, it’s time to talk about how this one might end up. There’s a belief that fall weather is a good sign of how cold or warm winter will be. Let’s see if that holds true.
First, let’s just look at October temperatures. The October normal mean temperature for Columbus is 55 degrees.
Between 1878 and 2019, there have been 47 Octobers that featured a mean temperature of 53.9 degrees or lower, what we’re considering a Cold October for the purposes of this comparison. Of those 47 Octobers, 27 of the 47 had following winters that were colder than normal, or 57.4%, 13 had average temperature winters, or 27.7%, and the remaining 7 were warmer than normal, or 14.9%. Interestingly, this category contains both the warmest winter on record- 1889-1890 and the coldest on record- 1976-1977- as shown by the chart below.
Next, we look at Normal Octobers, which are +/- 1 degree of the 1981-2010 Average of 55 degrees. Between 1878 and 2019, there were 45 normal Octobers. Of those, 21 had colder than normal following winters, or 46.7%. 11 were followed by normal winters, or 24.4%, and 13 had warmer than normal winters, or 28.9%.
Finally, let’s look at warm Octobers, which are those with means of 56.1 degrees or higher. There were 49 Octobers with warmer than normal means since 1878. Of those, 18 featured following winters that were colder than normal, or 36.7%. Another 19, or 38.8%, were followed by average winters. The final 12 winters, or 24.5%, were warmer than normal. Here’s the graph.
So just based on the October mean temperature, Octobers that are colder than normal are almost twice as likely as normal Octobers and almost 4x as likely as warm Octobers to be followed by a cold winter. But what about Novembers? It is closer to winter itself, so does its weather matter even more?
Colder than normal Novembers- 43.3 degrees or lower- included 80 Novembers since 1878. Of those, 38 or 47.5% had colder than normal winters. 22 (27.5%) had normal winters and 19, or 23.8%, had warmer than normal winters.
With the 39 normal Novembers, 43.4 to 45.4 degrees, there were 18 that had colder than normal winters, or 46.2%, with 12 normal winters (30.8%) and 9 warmer than normal winters (23.1%).
Finally, there were 24 warmer than normal Novembers since 1878- 45.5 degrees or higher. Only 6, or 25%, were followed by cold winters. An additional 9 (37.5%) were normal, while the last 9 (37.5%) were warmer than normal.
To reiterate, here are the ranked percentages of cold winters by the preceding October or November. 1. Cold Octobers: 57.4% 2. Cold Novembers: 47.5% 3. Normal Octobers: 46.7% 4. Normal Novembers: 46.2% 5. Warm Octobers: 36.7% 6. Warm Novembers: 25.0%
It should be no surprise that cold Octobers and Novembers have a stronger correlation to the following winters also being colder, with colder winters becoming increasingly unlikely as those months warm. What is surprising is that October weather, across the board, was more predictive of cold winters than Novembers were.
Going further, though, what about bi-monthly combinations?
Rank of Bi-Monthly Combinations and the percentage of colder than normal following winters, along with total years in sample: Normal October/Normal November: 87.5% 8 Years Cold October/Warm November: 57.1% 7 Years Cold October/Cold November: 53.8% 26 Years Normal October/Cold November: 48.1% 27 Years Warm October/Cold November: 40.7% 27 Years Cold October/Normal November: 38.5% 13 Years Warm October/Warm November: 28.6% 7 Years Warm October/Normal November: 25.0% 16 Years Normal October/Warm November: 0.0% 8 Years
So a normal fall is clearly the best, but the sample size is not particularly high. Normal to Warm is unanimously warm, but again, it has a small sample size.
So does fall weather ultimately have a correlation to winter severity? To some degree yes, as patterns established in the fall tend to appear in the winter as well, but October, rather than November, has a clear higher correlation. But as with everything, there are many other factors involved.
October 2020 looks to at least begin with below normal temperatures, but it remains to be seen how it ends up.
The Winter 2019-2020 Review has arrived! Aside some a few instances, winter was largely absent in Ohio for the 2019-2020 season. The season was bookended by periods of cold while the heart of winter was one of the warmest on record. Along with the warmth, precipitation was high throughout the season, but that didn’t translate into much snow.
Temperature and snowfall ranking data goes back to the winter of 1878-1879. Snow depth ranking data goes back to 1940.
December-February Only Average High: 43.5 11th Warmest Average Low: 28.3 9th Warmest Mean: 35.9 10th Warmest Precipitation: 9.69″ 29th Wettest Snowfall: 8.3″ 16th Least Snowiest Average Daily Snow Depth: 0.1″ 2nd Lowest Largest Snowstorm: 2.2″ December 15th-16th 32 or Below Highs: 12 6th Fewest 32 or Below Lows: 65 13th Fewest Measurable Precipitation Days: 34 10th Fewest Measurable Snowfall Days: 13 9th Fewest Deepest Snow Depth: 2″ on February 9th Days with 1″+ Snow Depth: 5 3rd Fewest
Entire Cold Season- October-April Average High: 51.9 10th Warmest Average Low: 34.1 17th Warmest Mean: 43.0 11th Warmest Precipitation: 27.60″ 6th Wettest Snowfall: 11.7″ 18th Least Snowiest Average Snow Depth: 0.1″ 2nd Lowest Largest Snowstorm: 2.8″ November 11th-12th 32 or Below Highs: 14 4th Fewest 32 or Below Lows: 98 17th Fewest Measurable Precipitation Days: 87 18th Most Measurable Snowfall Days: 16 7th Fewest Deepest Snow Depth: 2″ on February 9th Days with 1″+ Snow Depth: 8 5th Fewest
Average High By Month October 2019: 69.8 13th Warmest November 2019: 47.3 21st Coldest December 2019: 45.9 12th Warmest January 2020: 43.3 16th Warmest February 2020: 41.2 35th Warmest March 2020: 55.4 18th Warmest April 2020: 59.6 21st Coldest
Average Low By Month October 2019: 47.0 26th Warmest November 2019: 30.3 9th Coldest December 2019: 28.8 28th Warmest January 2020: 30.1 8th Warmest February 2020: 25.9 35th Warmest March 2020: 37.6 13th Warmest April 2020: 38.7 16th Coldest
Mean By Month October 2019: 58.4 18th Warmest November 2019: 38.8 12th Coldest December 2019: 37.4 18th Warmest January 2020: 36.7 13th Warmest February 2020: 33.6 38th Warmest March 2020: 46.5 13th Warmest April 2020: 49.2 23rd Coldest
The 2019-2020 winter months were full of extremes, and most months ended up in either the top 20 coldest or warmest ever recorded.
Precipitation By Month October 2019: 4.05″ 19th Wettest November 2019: 1.48″ 24th Driest December 2019: 2.76″ 62nd Wettest January 2020: 4.37″ 25th Wettest February 2020: 2.56″ 54th Wettest March 2020: 8.16″ 2nd Wettest April 2020: 4.22″ 32nd Wettest
Snowfall By Month October 2019: Trace 2nd Least Snowiest November 2019: 2.8″ 22nd Snowiest December 2019: 2.3″ 23rd Least Snowiest January 2020: 0.3″ 3rd Least Snowiest February 2020: 5.7″ 47th Snowiest March 2020: 0.6″ 5th Least Snowiest April 2020: Trace 2nd Least Snowiest
As with temperature, precipitation and snowfall varied wildly as well, but generally most months were wetter than normal and less snowy than normal.
Average Snow Depth By Month October 2019: 0.0″ November 2019: 0.2″ December 2019: 0.1″ January 2020: Trace February 2020: 0.2″ March 2020: Trace April 2020: 0.0″
Maximum High By Month October: 94 on the 1st and 2nd November: 59 on the 27th December: 62 on the 27th January: 71 on the 11th February: 63 on the 3rd March: 76 on the 28th April: 77 on the 7th
Maximum High Records -The 94 on October 1st was a record for the date, beating the old record of 89 set in 1952. This is also the warmest October temperature ever recorded, beating the old October record of 91 set in 2007. -The 94 on October 2nd was a record for the date, beating the old record of 88 set in 1919. This also ties for the warmest October temperature ever, set on October 1st, 2019, the previous day. -The 93 on October 3rd was a record for the date, beating the old record of 89 set in 1898 and 1953. -The 71 on January 11th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 66 set in 1886 and 1890. -The 63 on February 3rd tied the old record set in 1890.
Minimum High By Month October: 55 on the 12th November: 28 on the 12th and 13th December: 29 on the 18th January: 28 on the 20th February: 24 on the 14th March: 38 on the 21st April: 45 on the 10th
Minimum High Records -The 28 on the 12th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 30 set in 1920.
Maximum Low By Month October: 68 on the 2nd November: 39 on the 21st and 27th December: 47 on the 9th and 29th January: 53 on the 11th February: 39 on the 25th March: 55 on the 29th April: 53 on the 8th
Maximum Low Records -The 45 on January 10th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 43 set in 1960.
Minimum Low By Month October: 35 on the 31st November: 11 on the 13th December: 13 on the 19th January: 12 on the 20th February: 13 on the 15th and 21st March: 19 on the 1st April: 26 on the 16th
Minimum Low Records -The 15 on November 12th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 16 set in 1911. -The 11 on November 13th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 14 set in 1911.
Highest Daily Precipitation By Month October: 1.51″ on the 31st November: 0.33″ on the 27th December: 1.20″ on the 29th January: 1.13″ on the 18th February: 0.57″ on the 12th March: 2.89″ on the 20th April: 0.66″ on the 7th
Precipitation Records -The 1.51″ on October 31st was a record for the date, beating the old record of 1.44″ set in 1932. -The 1.20″ on December 29th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 1.13″ set in 1915. -The 1.13″ on January 18th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 0.79″ set in 1927. -The 1.31″ on March 4th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 0.74″ set in 1951. -The 2.89″ that fell on March 20th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 1.60″ set in 1984.
Highest Daily Snowfall By Month October: Trace on the 31st November: 2.1″ on the 12th December: 1.5″ on the 15th January: 0.2″ on the 25th February: 1.8″ on the 8th March: 0.6″ on the 14th April: Trace on the 15th and 17th
Snowfall Records -The 2.1″ on November 11th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 0.5″ set in 1983.
Deepest Snow Depth By Month October: 0″ November: 3″ on the 12th December: 2″ on the 16th January: Trace on the 19th and 20th February: 2″ on the 29th March: Trace on the 15th April: 0″
The Winter 2018-2019 Review reveals the season was another one of extremes, with record highs and near record lows, snowy months and snowless months. The only real consistency was how wet it was.
Temperature and snowfall ranking data goes back to the winter of 1878-1879. Snow depth ranking data goes back to 1940. Rankings are accurate through the 2018-2019 winter.
December-February Only Average High: 41.4 22nd Warmest Average Low: 26.4 21st Warmest Mean: 33.8 24th Warmest Precipitation: 12.15″ 8th Wettest Snowfall: 23.3″ 35th Snowiest Average Daily Snow Depth: 0.5″ 32 or Below Highs: 22 16th Fewest 32 or Below Lows: 66 14th Fewest Measurable Precipitation Days: 43 10th Most Measurable Snowfall Days: 22 15th Most Deepest Snow Depth: 4″ on January 13th and 20th, February 1st and 2nd Days with 1″+ Snow Depth: 17 14th Fewest
Entire Cold Season- October-April Average High: 49.7 27th Warmest Average Low: 33.3 25th Warmest Mean: 41.5 23rd Warmest Precipitation: 29.33″ 3rd Wettest Snowfall: 27.4″ 44th Snowiest Average Snow Depth: 0.2″ 32 or Below Highs: 27 17th Fewest 32 or Below Lows: 106 25th Fewest Measurable Precipitation Days: 91 14th Most Measurable Snowfall Days: 29 16th Most Deepest Snow Depth: 4″ on January 13th and 20th, February 1st and 2nd Days with 1″+ Snow Depth: 20 13th Fewest
Average High By Month October 2018: 65.7 43rd Warmest November 2018: 45.2 8th Coldest December 2018: 44.1 21st Warmest January 2019: 36.6 48th Coldest February 2019: 43.4 25th Warmest March 2019: 47.5 36th Coldest April 2019: 65.4 21st Warmest
Average Low By Month October 2018: 47.2 25th Warmest November 2018: 33.2 28th Coldest December 2018: 30.6 15th Warmest January 2019: 22.2 47th Warmest February 2019: 26.3 33rd Warmest March 2019: 28.7 27th Coldest April 2019: 44.6 12th Warmest
Mean By Month October 2018: 56.5 28th Warmest November 2018: 39.2 14th Coldest December 2018: 37.3 18th Warmest January 2019: 29.4 51st Coldest February 2019: 34.8 30th Warmest March 2019: 38.1 34th Coldest April 2019: 55.0 14th Warmest
Precipitation By Month October 2018: 2.60″ 43rd Wettest November 2018: 5.70″ 4th Wettest December 2018: 3.57″ 30th Wettest January 2019: 3.09″ 47th Wettest February 2019: 5.49″ 6th Wettest March 2019: 5.33″ 15th Wettest April 2019: 3.55″ 54th Wettest
Snowfall By Month October 2018: 0.0″ November 2018: 2.1″ December 2018: 0.4″ January 2019: 11.3″ February 2019: 11.6″ March 2019: 2.0″ April 201: 0.0″
Average Daily Snow Depth By Month October 2018: 0.0″ November 2018: Trace December 2018: 0.0″ January 2019: 1″ February 2019: 0.5″ March 2019: 0.1″ April 2019: 0.0″
Maximum High By Month October: 88 on the 6th and 8th November: 61 on the 1st December: 66 on the 2nd January: 62 on the 8th February: 62 on the 7th March: 75 on the 14th April: 82 on the 11th
Maximum High Records -The 62 on February 7th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 61 set in 1925.
Minimum High By Month October: 49 on the 21st November: 30 on the 28th December: 28 on the 8th January: 11 on the 31st February: 22 on the 1st March: 20 on the 5th April: 43 on the 1st
Minimum High Records -The 33 on November 14th tied the record set in 2014. -The 20 on March 5th tied the record set in 1890.
Maximum Low By Month October: 69 on the 2nd and 9th November: 50 on the 5th December: 46 on the 15th January: 41 on the 8th February: 43 on the 6th March: 51 on the 14th and 29th April: 64 on the 18th
Maximum Low Records -The 69 on October 2nd was a record for the date, beating the old record of 68 set in 1881 and 1884. -The 68 on October 8th tied the record for the date set in 1879. -The 69 on October 9th tied the record for the date set in 1879. -The 68 on October 10th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 66 set in 1879. -The 43 on February 6th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 42 set in 1991. -The 64 on April 18th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 63 set in 1941.
Minimum Low By Month October: 32 on the 22nd and 25th November: 22 on the 10th and 11th December: 16 on the 10th January: -4 on the 30th and 31st February: 9 on the 2nd March: 7 on the 5th April: 24 on the 1st
Highest Daily Precipitation By Month October: 0.63″ on the 31st November: 1.80″ on the 1st December: 1.01″ on the 31st January: 0.81″ on the 19th February: 1.22″ on the 20th March: 1.97″ on the 30th April: 0.77″ on the 19th
Precipitation Records -The 1.80″ on November 2nd was a record for the date, beating the old record of 1.45″ set in 1984. -The 1.01″ on December 31st was a record for the date, beating the old record of 0.89″ set in 1887. -The 0.91″ on February 12th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 0.77″ in 1930. -The 1.97″ on March 30th was a record for the date, beating the old record of 1.47″ set in 1987.
Highest Daily Snowfall By Month October: 0.0″ November: 1.3″ on the 15th December: 0.2″ on the 5th January: 4″ on the 12th February: 4.2″ on the 1st March: 1.9″ on the 3rd April: 0.0″
Deepest Snow Depth By Month October: 0″ November: 1″ December: 0″ January: 4″ on the 13th and 20th February: 4″ on the 1st and 2nd March: 2″ on the 1st April: 0″
Overall, the winter of 2018-2019, while having a few cold spells, was largely warmer than normal. It was also wet and had snowfall near normal.