Housing Market Update March 2022




Local Housing Market Update March 2022 Columbus, Ohio

The local housing market update March 2022 has been release by Columbus Realtors. Here are the numbers!

Note: LSD= Local School District, CSD= City School District. In both cases, school district boundaries differ from city boundaries.

Top 15 Most Expensive Locations By Median Sales Price in March 2022
1. New Albany: $682,500
2. German Village: $667,500
3. Powell: $638,000
4. New Albany Plain LSD: $535,000
5. Grandview Heights: $535,000
6. Upper Arlington CSD: $525,000
7. Big Walnut LSD: $520,000
8. Olentangy LSD: $500,000
9. Dublin: $481,000
10. Short North: $480,000
11. Granville CSD: $460,000
12. Dublin CSD: $430,000
13. Jonathan Alder LSD: $413,500
14. Bexley: $410,000
15. Pickerington: $408,000
16. Worthington: $408,000

Top 15 Least Expensive Locations by Median Sales Price in March 2022
1. Whitehall: $160,250
2. Circleville CSD: $162,500
3. Newark CSD: $180,000
4. Lancaster CSD: $180,000
5. Hamilton LSD: $185,000
6. Obetz: $209,000
7. Miami Trace: $214,000
8. Columbus CSD: $234,000
9. Groveport Madison LSD: $237,500
10. Jefferson LSD: $240,950
11. Columbus: $248,000
12. London CSD: $250,000
13. South-Western CSD: $260,000
14. Blacklick: $270,000
15. Reynoldsburg CSD: $286,250

Overall Market Median Sales Price in March: $279,265
Based on the 10 Columbus Metro Area counties.

Top 15 Locations with the Highest Median Sales Price % Growth Between March 2021 and March 2022
1. Johnstown-Monroe LSD: +60.0%
2. Miami Trace LSD: +40.9%
3. German Village: +40.4%
4. Reynoldsburg CSD: +39.5%
5. Teays Valley LSD: +36.9%
6. Big Walnut LSD: +35.1%
7. Jefferson LSD: +30.2%
8. Jonathan Alder LSD: +29.2%
9. Pataskala: +28.6%
10. Northridge LSD: +28.5%
11. Groveport Madison LSD: +28.4%
12. Canal Winchester CSD: +25.6%
13. Hilliard CSD: +24.7%
14. Delaware CSD: +24.3%
15. Newark CSD: +23.3%

Top 15 Locations with the Lowest Median Sales Price % Growth Between March 2021 and March 2022
1. Circleville CSD: -22.6%
2. Lithopolis: -15.6%
3. Obetz: -8.1%
4. Buckeye Valley LSD: -3.0%
5. Bexley: -0.7%
6. London CSD: -0.4%
7. New Albany Plain LSD: +2.2%
8. Dublin CSD: +2.6%
9. Blacklick: +2.7%
10. Dublin: +4.1%
11. Grove City: +4.4%
12. New Albany: +4.7%
13. Sunbury: +5.5%
14. Worthington CSD: +9.7%
15. Westerville: +10.1%

Curiously, New Albany has not yet seen significant housing cost increases despite the news of the Intel development announced a few months ago, but that may just be due to the fact that housing prices there exceed all other markets by a good margin already.

Overall Market Median Sales Price % Change March 2022 vs. March 2021: +19.6%
Based on 52 metro market locations.

Top 10 Locations with the Most New Listings in March 2022
1. Columbus: 1,161
2. Columbus CSD: 773
3. South Western CSD: 205
4. Olentangy LSD: 151
5. Westerville CSD: 144
6. Hilliard CSD: 121
7. Dublin CSD: 113
8. Pickerington LSD: 94
9. Worthington CSD: 85
10. Grove City: 84

Top 10 Locations with the Fewest New Listings in March 2022
1. Valleyview: 1
2. Minerva Park: 1
3. Lithopolis: 3
4. Sunbury: 10
5. Northridge LSD: 10
6. Obetz: 12
7. Johnstown Monroe LSD: 12
8. German Village: 13
9. Powell: 13
10. Jefferson LSD: 14
11. Whitehall: 14

Total New Listings in the Columbus Metro in March 2022: +2,901
Overall Metro New Listings % Change March 2022 vs March 2021: +3.7%

New listings did increase in March versus a year ago, but only slightly. Listings tend to increase as the weather warms up.



Top 10 Fastest-Selling Locations by # of Days Homes Remain on the Market Before Sale in March 2022
1. Lithopolis: 2
2. Miami Trace LSD: 3
3. Minerva Park: 3
4. Pickerington: 4
5. German Village: 5
6. Westerville: 5
7. Worthington: 5
8. Worthington CSD: 5
9. Dublin: 7
10. Gahanna: 7
11. Groveport Madison LSD: 7
12. New Albany: 7

Top 10 Slowest-Selling Locations by # of Days Homes Remain on the Market Before Sale in March 2022
1. Northridge LSD: 78
2. Downtown: 60
3. Granville CSD: 52
4. Short North: 51
5. Grandview Heights: 38
6. Oberz: 27
7. Circleville CSD: 25
8. Delaware CSD: 22
9. Hamilton LSD: 22
10. Johnstown Monroe LSD: 22

Top 10 Locations with the Greatest % Decline of # of Days on the Market Before Sale March 2022 vs. March 2021
1. Lithopolis: -96.6%
2. Miami Trace LSD: -85.7%
3. Pickerington: -84.6%
4. Dublin: -81.1%
5. Worthington CSD: -76.2%
6. Big Walnut LSD: -75.5%
7. Worthington: -72.2%
8. German Village: -70.6%
9. Westerville: -68.8%
10. Powell: -67.3%

Top 10 Locations with the Lowest % Decline of # of Days on the Market Before Sale March 2022 vs. March 2021
1. Canal Winchester CSD: +466.7%
2. Johnstown Monroe LSD: +450.0%
3. Northridge LSD: +254.5%
4. Granville CSD: +126.1%
5. Hilliard: +100.0%
6. Hamilton LSD: +69.2%
7. Obetz: +50.0%
8. Whitehall: +44.4%
9. London CSD: +30.0%
10. Grove City: +28.6%
11. Teays Valley LSD: +28.6%

% Change for the # of Days Homes Remain on the Market Before Sale Across the Metro Overall: 20.4
Overall Metro Days on Market % Change March 2022 vs March 2021: -12.1%



More Historic Building Preservation Results




More historic building preservation results

A few years back, I wrote about the outcomes of Columbus Landmarks’ historic buildings under threat from development or demolition. A few of the buildings had already been lost, a few had been saved, but several had no resolution. Since then, however, the list has seen more historic building preservation results arrive.
Additionally, other buildings that were not on the Columbus Landmarks list of endangered buildings have recently come under threat.

Columbus Landmarks List Buildings

Indianola Junior High School
Address: 420 E. 19th Avenue
Built: 1929
Status as of April 2022: Existing, with a Renovation Plan

Indianola in 2015.

Some good news for the very first Junior High building in the United States. An independent STEM school chain, Metro Schools, announced in May of last year that they will be renovating the old school for grades 6-12. Through April of this year, renovation does not appear to have started, however.

Bellows Avenue Elementary
Address: 725 Bellows Avenue
Built: 1905
Status as of April 2022: Existing, with a Renovation Plan


In November of 2021, Columbus City Council approved redevelopment plans that would renovate the school into a mix of office space and apartments. Additionally, the remaining school site land would be filled with new townhomes. Work has yet to begin on this project, however.

Near East Trolley Barn Complex
Address: 1600 Oak Street
Built: 1880-1900
Status as of April 2022: Renovated

The main trolley barn and grounds in 2019.

The old trolley barn as of April 2022.

A renovation to turn the trolley barn into East Market has more or less been completed, and the surrounding grounds have also been rebuilt.

Kessler’s Corner Grocery
Address: 553-555 W. Town Street
Built: 1884
Status as of April 2022: Existing, but to be Demolished

Kessler’s in 2019.

The building had been vacant for more than 30 years, with a slew of owners not spending a dime on maintaining the structure- and apparently the city doing nothing about it. Ironically, the current owner has some history with restoring buildings like this, but claim the building is too far gone to save. The reality, however, is that only very rarely can a building not be saved. It largely comes down to the cost-return analysis, meaning that restoring this building would likely cost more than the return the owner wants to get out of it. They will say it’s beyond saving, but really it’s just beyond what they want to spend. And so, another piece of Columbus history is lost.

The Main Bar
Address: 16 W. Main Street
Built: 1880s
Status as of April 2022: Demolished

The Main Bar building in 2016.

This one really irks me. The Main Bar building was a small, historic building that was in great condition. It was demolished in 2021 not because of a proposed development project or because it was unsafe or in poor condition. Nope, it was torn down… for parking. The Downtown Commission allowed the demolition despite the fact that their own development standards forbid demolition without a replacement project planned, and also forbids it solely for surface parking space. Yet it happened, anyway. Why? At this point, who knows. Downtown development standards are rarely enforced by the Downtown Commission. Half the recently-built projects along High Street shouldn’t have been allowed as built, so the fact that they weren’t followed here, either, is no surprise. The owner promised that there would eventually be a development proposal for the site, but they didn’t have one at the time of demolition and still don’t.

Macon Hotel Building
Address: 366 N. 20th Street
Built: 1888
Status as of April 2022: Existing, with a Renovation Plan

The Macon in 2019.

This old building, famous for its jazz history, has been vacant for decades. Various redevelopment and renovations proposals have come and gone. A new one from the summer of 2021, and hopefully one that we see finally come to fruition, wants to renovate the structure back into a hotel with first-floor retail and restaurant space. No movement, however, has occurred on this project.

Kroger Bakery Building
Address: 457 Cleveland Avenue
Built: 1914
Status as of April 2022: Existing, with a Renovation Plan


A proposal from last spring seeks to renovate the structures into a mix of uses with apartments and retail, with more apartment buildings proposed around the historic bakery buildings. This project has been approved, but work has yet to begin.

Threatened Buildings Not on the Columbus Landmarks List

South Dormitory
Address: 240 Parsons Avenue
Built: 1935
Status as of April 2022: Existing, likely to be Saved

The South Dormitory in 2021.

This building was one of the dormitory buildings that were part of the old Institution for the Blind building that is now used by the City of Columbus. The City had been using it for offices, but claimed that it no longer functioned well for their purposes, so they proposed tearing it down for expanded parking space. Ironically, the complex already has a very large parking lot and garage that could be expanded upwards without requiring any demolition. Because the building itself is in good condition and because of the reason for the proposed demolition, there was immediate and heavy criticism of the plan. So much so that funding was pulled. While a new parking proposal hasn’t been released publicly, given the outcry, it seems unlikely that the City will move forward with the demolition itself.

South Side Learning Center
Address: 255 Reeb Avenue
Built: 1927
Status as of April 2022: Existing, but with Demolition Plan

255 Reeb in 2019.

The former South Side Learning Center is being proposed to be demolished as part of Nationwide Realty’s Healthy Homes affordable housing company. The existing building is in good condition, but Healthy Homes says that it can be best renovated only into 1 bedroom units and efficiencies, but they prefer to build 2-3 bedroom units. That’s it… that’s the reasoning. So as with the Main Bar, there is nothing really wrong with the historic building other than that it can’t accommodate the specific desired unit size. If Healthy Homes only owned this specific lot, I could see how that may be an issue. However, they also own the few vacant lots to the west along Reeb and the land back to the rear alley. The overall site is more than large enough to build 3-4 multi-unit new buildings each with 2-3 bedroom units in addition to renovating the existing structure into 1-bedroom units, creating a dense pocket of necessary housing for all potential parties. In fact, such a proposal could potentially more than double the units actually proposed. Yet for some inexplicable reason, Healthy Homes doesn’t want to do that despite the claim that they need more housing.

Jersey Farm Bakery Building
Address: 1826 E. Livingston Avenue
Built: 1949
Status as of April 2022: Existing, but with Demolition Plan

The bakery building in 2021.

While not as old as some of the other buildings on this list, this large art-deco style factory building still has some architectural interest and history attached. Woda Companies initially planned to renovate the building into residences, but now want to tear it down and replace it with a 4-story affordable housing complex with some retail space. Unfortunately, the latest proposal is fairly generic and somewhat garish with the choice of colors. A project that would’ve at least incorporated the Livingston-facing part of the building would’ve gone a long way to make this project more interesting. The overall site is very large at nearly 3.3 acres, so there was plenty of space to do something unique here. This seems like a huge missed opportunity.

Columbus and the greater region are set to change significantly in the coming years, with its trajectory of population growth only meaning greater pressure to build. But as those projects come, more and more old buildings could be lost if forward thinking fails.

To explore other proposals around Columbus, the best place is here.



Cool Link: 1950 Census




Cool link 1950 Census

In today’s edition of the series, we have a Cool Link for the 1950 Census. 1950 census data was already available on different websites, but it was general population and demographic data only. The National Archives and Record Administration, or NARA, has now released complete records. Many of these records were unavailable to the general public prior to this release because the data fell under what’s called the “72 Year Rule”, in which the US government will not release any personally identifiable information until 72 years has passed after the date of data collection. With the 1950 Census, that time has come.

1950 Census Records

You can search the records by place, record type or even by a person’s name. This is great not only for historic population and demographic data, but also for genealogical research into family histories.

Continue your search with tons of local population and demographic data.

Columbus Economy February 2022

Columbus economy February 2022

The Columbus economy in February 2022 continued its slow recovery from the Covid pandemic crash of 2020. Let’s break it down.

Overall Metro Area February 2022 and Change from February 2021
Labor Force: 1,126,967 +9,435
Employed: 1,085,393 +27,948
Unemployed: 41,574 -18,513
Unemployment Rate: 3.7% -1.7
Total Non-Farm Jobs: 1,102,000 +25,400

Overall Metro Area February 2022 and Change from February 2020 (Pre-Pandemic)
Labor Force: 1,126,967 +10,719
Employed: 1,085,393 +13,820
Unemployed: 41,574 -3,101
Unemployment Rate: 3.7% -0.3
Total Non-Farm Jobs: 1,102,000 -9,400
In most categories, the metro area overall has fully recovered to levels just before the pandemic crash- and has improved upon most metrics. Non-farm jobs is the only area that has not yet fully recovered.

Now let’s view the results by industry.

Mining/Logging/Construction
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

42,500————41,000———44,400
The construction industry (Columbus doesn’t have a significant mining or logging industry) has surpassed pre-Covid levels.

Manufacturing
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

73,000———–71,700———-72,600
Manufacturing hasn’t fully recovered, but appears likely to within the next few months.

Trade/Transportation/Utilities
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

215,600———-222,800———234,900
This industry has gone well past pre-pandemic levels is one of the strongest performing in the metro area.

Information
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

16,500———–15,200———-16,500
Information has fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, but only just. It remains to be seen how much further it will improve as the industry had been losing jobs steadily since the end of 2018.

Financial Activities
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

85,900———–85,000———-84,600
Unlike other industries, financial activities did not drop significantly during the crash. It did fully recover all lost jobs by November of 2021, but has slid some since.

Professional and Business Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022
178,800———-176,500———175,400
As with the Financial Activities sector, this industry did fully recover by the fall of 2021, but is now lagging a bit.

Education and Health Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

165,100———-158,500———159,700
Although recovering slowly and ahead of last year, this industry has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. Part of the reason for this may have been the mass resignations within the health industry due to burnout from stress.

Leisure and Hospitality
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022
106,800———-87,200———-96,500
This industry was arguably hit the hardest of any during the pandemic crash (jobs fell by nearly 50%), and in many cases has struggled to fill existing jobs as the economy has improved. Still, trends suggest that the industry will be fully recovered by this summer.

Other Services
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

41,900———–38,800———-40,400
Another industry that will likely be fully recovered by summer or early fall.

Government
2/2020———–2/2021———-2/2022

185,300———-179,900———177,000
As the state capital, Columbus has always been heavy in this industry. However, for whatever reason, government jobs just haven’t been coming back as much and may not recover fully until sometime next year.

While the overall metro has largely recovered, several industries have not. However, most are trending towards passing pre-pandemic levels by this summer- barring any other economic problems from Covid or global events.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics, the source of this data, is useful for local employment data for any metro area in the United States.



Politics and Covid-19




Politics and Covid-19 Ohio

I largely avoid politics here because it’s a much more subjective topic that is far less data-focused in nature than what I try to provide here, so the most political I’ve gotten was to provide past election results and county voting trends with no political commentary. This post will attempt to maintain that line between data and opinion, but I understand that the topic of politics and Covid-19 is already a very controversial mix, and simply sticking to the data won’t necessarily be perceived as unbiased by all who read this. With that in mind, I can only say that this post is based on existing, straightforward data, and I have made no attempts to add any personal biases to the results one way or another.
With all that said, I was curious whether there was any correlation between voting patterns and Covid cases/deaths locally, specifically with Ohio’s 88 counties. There has been some suggestion in the media that Red- or Republican-voting places- have generally had worse outcomes than Blue- or Democratic-voting counties. So we will look at the following factors to see if that holds true locally:
1. Total Cases
2. Total Cases Per Capita
3. Total Deaths
4. Total Deaths Per Capita

But we first must establish what the Red vs. Blue counties are. Ohio doesn’t register voters by party affiliation, so instead, I used county voting results for the past 6 presidential elections, or since 2000. Based on the % of voters voting for either Republican or Democrat, I created 5 different levels of political bias.
Deep Blue: Counties where Democratic voters beat Republican voters by 25 points or more.
Light Blue: Counties where Democratic voters beat Republican voters by 5-24 points.
Neutral: Counties where Democratic/Republican voter advantage falls under 5 points.
Light Red: Counties where Republican voters beat Democratic voters by 5-24 points.
Deep Red: Counties where Republican voters beat Democratic voters by 25 points or more.
The point system is taken from the average of the past 6 elections, so keep in mind that some counties may be more Red or Blue currently than the average suggests.

So based on that criteria, which Ohio counties are Red vs. Blue vs. Neutral? Well, Ohio’s overwhelming rural counties are mostly in the Deep Red category (39 of 88), followed by Light Red (34 of 88), Neutral (7 of 88), Light Blue (7 of 88) and just 1 Deep Blue county in the state. The map below breaks the counties down and gives the average voting bias across the last 6 elections.

Now we need to take those established voting biases and compare them to how the counties performed during Covid-19.
Case Numbers Through 3/31/2022
Total All Red Counties: 1,230,285
Total All Neutral Counties: 498,375
Total All Blue Counties: 944,141
Average Total Cases by County Group
Deep Red Counties: 15,138.8
Light Red Counties: 18,819.8
Neutral Counties: 71,196.4
Light Blue Counties: 96,563.6
Deep Blue County: 268,196
On first glance, it would seem that Red counties did much better on average despite having more cases overall, but the problem is that those counties have much lower populations and literally cannot have the same average totals of more populated ones. That’s why we instead have to look at per-capita cases.
Total Cases Per 100K People
All Red Counties: 23.9
All Neutral Counties: 22.8
All Blue Counties: 21.9
Deep Red Only: 23.7
Light Red Only: 24.0
Neutral Only: 22.8
Light Blue Only: 22.0
Deep Blue Only: 21.7
With per-capita, the story is exactly the opposite, with Red counties having more cases by population. If you’re wondering why the Deep Red counties had a slightly lower per-capita rate than Light Red, the answer is Holmes County. Perhaps due to its heavy Amish population that tends to avoid modern medicine and technology- and largely keep to themselves in the process- reported per-capita cases there were the lowest in the state by far, and single-handedly lowered the entire Deep Red county grouping below Light Red counties. Regardless, the outcome was still the same- Red did worse.
Top 10 Highest Per-Capita Case Rate
1. Marion: 30.5
2. Lawrence, Scioto: 30.0
3. Pickaway: 29.9
4. Muskingum: 29.3
5. Jackson: 27.4
6. Fayette: 27.3
7. Guernsey: 26.9
8. Allen, Defiance, Pike: 26.8
9. Union: 26.4
10. Clark, Erie: 26.1
Top 10 Lowest Per-Capita Case Rate
1. Holmes: 11.6
2. Geauga: 17.1
3. Carroll: 19.5
4. Wayne: 20.0
5. Meigs: 20.1
6. Ashtabula: 20.3
7. Washington: 20.6
8. Summit: 20.7
9. Ottawa: 20.9
10. Trumbull: 21
Of course, one of the caveats with this data is that many, many cases went unreported, and those cases were more likely to be in rural areas with lower access to testing and medical facilities. There’s also the issue that Covid doesn’t always present with symptoms. So, it’s possible that the per-capita discrepancy was even larger.
Deaths, however, are more concrete. Not all of them have been counted either, obviously, but it’s a lot harder to hide a death than it is a symptomless case.
Total Deaths Through 3/31/2022
All Red Counties: 18,295
All Neutral Counties: 7,219
All Blue Counties: 12,523
Average Total Deaths by County Group
Deep Red: 227.6
Light Red: 277.0
Neutral: 1,031.3
Light Blue: 1,253.3
Deep Blue: 3,750.0
Again, on the surface, the average looks bad for Blue counties despite having the lower overall total, but the truth again rests with the per-capita figures.
Total Deaths Per Capita by County Group
Deep Red: 394.4
Light Red: 390.4
Neutral: 345.4
Light Blue: 328.6
Deep Blue: 304.0
On a per-capita basis, Blue counties lost 76 fewer people per 100K than did Red counties. That’s a lot of lives.

So what can be concluded from all this? The first is that the results in Ohio were not isolated. Across almost all states, Blue-leaning states had better outcomes per-capita than Red. Speculation as to why that is runs the gamut, from better overall local policies to differing views on science to even education levels and access to harmful media sources that disseminate misinformation. Whatever the case may be, the United States has lost more people than any other nation in the world, at now over 1 million. It is by far the worst pandemic and the worst natural disaster in American history. With so much bad news these days, we can only hope that something valuable has been learned in all this terrible mess.