Issue 1 was a contentious, controversial proposal to make it harder for Ohioans to make changes to the state constitution. After a short campaign season, it would go on to defeat by just over 14 points- 57.01% to 42.99%. I provided a state county map with the results on the new Special Issues page. But what were the Issue 1 results in Franklin County and its precincts, specifically?
Today’s Cool Link provides the answer with a precinct map of the county. The map shows the results of Issue 1 for every single precinct, ward or city in Franklin County.
Based on the map, here were the overall margins for all the places in the county. Negative numbers are No wins, and positive numbers are Yes wins. 1. Bexley: -74.35 2. Grandview Heights: -71.19 3. Riverlea: -70.04 4. Marble Cliff: -69.02 5. Urbancrest: -64.16 6. Minerva Park: -63.1 7. Worthington: -61.94 8. Columbus: -61.8 9. Clinton Township: -58.32 10. Upper Arlington: -51.55 11. Sharon Township: -50.76 12. Mifflin Township: -46.54 13. Perry Township: -45.32 14. Whitehall: -43.97 15. Gahanna: -42.54 16. New Albany: -42.43 17. Hilliard: -41.09 18. Blendon Township: -39.79 19. Truro Township: -37.93 20. Reynoldsburg: -36.32 21. Jefferson Township: -36.29 22. Westerville: -36.0 23. Dublin: -35.71 24. Norwich Township: -27.9 25. Valleyview: -26.32 26. Canal Winchester: -18.14 27. Madison Township: -17.75 28. Groveport: -16.1 29. Obetz: -14.03 30. Grove City: -13.66 31. Prairie Township: -11.44 32. Plain Township: -9.12 33. Washington Township: -7.5 34. Franklin Township: -6.7 35. Brown Township: -2.58 36. Pleasant Township: +9.2 37. Jackson Township: +13.71 38. Hamilton Township: +15.04 As we can see, almost no part of the county voted Yes except for a few rural townships on the far south side. Not a single suburb voted yes, including in more conservative suburbs like Grove City and Canal Winchester. This suggests there was a lot of bipartisan opposition within the county.
In the past, I’ve done individual housing market update reports on a monthly basis, but it’s proven to be somewhat impractical from a time management perspective. For 2023, I’ve decided to just do two main updates, one for the mid-year point and the other in December for the year as a whole.
Some changes for the mid-year update format will be that I will include all information January-June for all the Columbus market areas. For the larger tables, you can scroll to see all months.
Top 20 Most Expensive Markets by Median Sales Price January-June
Rank
January
February
March
April
May
June
January-June Median
1
Olentangy LSD: $520,531
New Albany: $921,425
New Albany: $1,112,875
New Albany: $975,000
New Albany: $820,000
New Albany: $788,500
New Albany: $925,000
2
Dublin/Dublin CSD: $519,900
New Albany Plain LSD: $750,000
Grandview Heights: $715,000
New Albany Plain LSD: $899,000
Grandview Heights: $752,000
Powell: $686,255
New Albany Plain LSD: $655,000
3
New Albany: $501,010
Powell: $613,255
New Albany Plain LSD: $684,250
Dublin: $585,000
Upper Arlington CSD: $691,000
New Albany Plain LSD: $655,000
Powell: $620,000
4
Granville CSD: $500,000
Dublin: $590,000
Powell: $612,450
Olentangy LSD: $564,000
Powell: $640,000
Upper Arlington CSD: $625,000
Upper Arlington CSD: $607,000
5
Johnstown-Monroe LSD: $499,000
Bexley: $581,250
Granville CSD: $567,500
Upper Arlington CSD: $550,000
New Albany Plain LSD: $639,900
Dublin: $585,000
Dublin: $570,000
6
Big Walnut LSD: $470,000
Big Walnut LSD: $515,900
German Village: $565,000
German Village: $528,500
Dublin: $580,000
Bexley: $550,500
Olentangy LSD: $540,792
7
Worthington: $467,500
Olentangy LSD: $499,050
Olentangy LSD: $550,000
Bexley: $515,000
Olentangy LSD: $568,000
German Village: $545,000
German Village: $530,000
8
Jonathan Alder LSD: $446,250
Upper Arlington CSD: $467,875
Upper Arlington CSD: $527,500
Powell: $505,000
Dublin CSD: $527,500
Olentangy LSD: $540,000
Bexley: $515,000
9
Buckeye Valley LSD: $445,000
Dublin CSD: $463,975
Dublin: $525,000
Buckeye Valley LSD: $499,000
German Village: $516,500
Granville CSD: $525,000
Dublin CSD: $511,500
10
Powell: $440,000
Worthington: $450,000
Big Walnut LSD: $496,379
Dublin CSD: $485,000
Worthington: $510,444
Buckeye Valley LSD: $508,635
Granville CSD: $500,000
11
New Albany Plain LSD: $430,000
German Village: $450,000
Bexley: $484,250
Big Walnut LSD: $475,000
Big Walnut LSD: $497,000
Dublin CSD: $493,418
Buckeye Valley LSD: $483,900
12
Upper Arlington CSD: $426,250
Hilliard: $438,000
Dublin CSD: $475,000
Sunbury: $462,350
Short North: $495,000
Lithopolis: $485,000
Big Walnut LSD: $480,000
13
Northridge LSD: $405,200
Downtown: $430,000
Buckeye Valley LSD/Sunbury: $438,500
Granville CSD: $450,000
Buckeye Valley LSD: $489,598
Northridge LSD: $480,790
Worthington: $437,500
14
German Village: $405,000
Granville CSD: $420,000
Johnstown-Monroe LSD: $438,000
Short North: $432,000
Granville CSD: $484,950
Short North: $480,000
Short North: $425,000
15
Grandview Heights: $400,000
Beechwold/Clintonville: $407,500
Minerva Park: $432,000
Pickerington: $427,738
Pickerington: $450,000
Grandview Heights: $455,000
Sunbury: $420,000
16
Lithopolis: $383,000
Lithopolis: $405,400
Westerville: $415,000
Beechwold/Clintonville: $425,500
Sunbury: $449,500
Worthington: $450,000
Pickerington: $406,200
17
Bexley: $380,000
Worthington CSD: $400,000
Hilliard: $410,000
Hilliard: $421,200
Jonathan Alder LSD: $445,000
Gahanna Jefferson CSD: $437,500
Johnstown-Monroe LSD: $399,950
18
Pickerington: $370,000
Short North: $386,650
Northridge LSD: $402,690
Pickerington LSD: $415,000
Bexley: $430,000
Jonathan Alder LSD: $436,000
Lithopolis: $396,000
19
Minerva Park: $367,500
Westerville: $379,900
Lithopolis: $396,000
Worthington: $395,000
Northridge LSD: $412,500
Downtown: $427,000
Pickerington LSD: $390,000
20
Sunbury: $339,700
Pickertington/Pickerington CSD: $370,000
Worthington: $391,000
Grandview Heights/Lithopolis: $388,000
Pickerington LSD: $410,000
Hilliard: $420,000
Westerville: $389,888
Top 20 Least Expensive Markets by Median Sales Price January-June
Rank
January
February
March
April
May
June
January-June Avg Median
1
Obetz: $159,900
Miami Trace LSD: $145,000
Circleville CSD: $163,350
Miami Trace LSD: $177,000
London CSD: $190,000
Lancaster CSD: $200,500
Miami Trace LSD: $184,500
2
Miami Trace LSD: $162,500
Whitehall: $165,000
Miami Trace LSD: $170,750
Lancaster CSD: $183,500
Whitehall: $192,000
London CSD: $225,158
Whitehall: $187,500
3
Whitehall: $169,500
Obetz: $186,500
Lancaster CSD: $174,900
Whitehall: $190,000
Newark CSD: $215,000
Miami Trace LSD: $227,000
Lancaster CSD: $199,900
4
Lancaster CSD: $185,500
Lancaster CSD: $195,000
Newark CSD: $178,388
Newark CSD: $198,000
Lancaster CSD: $224,500
Circleville CSD: $229,500
Newark CSD: $209,500
5
Newark CSD: $205,000
Jefferson LSD: $196,400
Whitehall: $199,900
Circleville CSD: $216,000
Circleville CSD: $234,950
Jefferson LSD: $240,000
Circleville CSD: $228,000
6
Columbus CSD: $214,000
Hamilton LSD: $205,900
Columbus CSD: $229,900
Hamilton LSD: $235,000
Miami Trace LSD: $242,450
Newark CSD: $243,500
Hamilton LSD: $237,500
7
London CSD: $215,000
Grandview Heights: $209,500
Hamilton LSD: $249,000
Groveport Madison LSD: $235,500
Hamilton LSD: $250,000
Hamilton LSD: $245,000
Jefferson LSD: $238,000
8
Hamilton LSD: $217,000
Newark CSD: $217,500
Groveport Madison LSD: $250,000
Jefferson LSD: $250,425
Columbus CSD: $255,000
Whitehall: $245,900
London CSD: $240,158
9
Jefferson LSD: $223,500
Minerva Park: $223,000
Jefferson LSD: $255,000
Columbus CSD: $255,000
Obetz: $268,000
Obetz: $250,000
Columbus CSD: $243,000
10
Groveport Madison LSD: $225,000
London CSD: $224,038
Columbus/Reynoldsburg CSD: $255,000
London CSD: $257,500
Groveport Madison LSD: $270,000
Groveport Madison LSD: $261,500
Groveport Madison LSD: $250,000
11
Columbus: $230,000
Columbus CSD: $231,750
South-Western CSD: $285,000
Columbus: $270,000
Columbus: $280,000
Columbus CSD: $265,000
Columbus: $265,000
12
Reynoldsburg CSD: $240,000
Groveport Madison LSD: $243,500
Blacklick: $317,000
Obetz: $285,000
South-Wester CSD: $300,000
Reynoldsburg CSD: $270,000
Obetz: $276,000
13
Circleville CSD: $249,900
Columbus: $250,000
Gahanna: $317,049
South-Western CSD: $287,950
Minerva Park: $300,500
Columbus: $283,500
South-Western CSD: $287,000
14
South-Western CSD: $263,500
Circleville CSD: $250,000
Delaware CSD: $322,500
Marysville CSD: $300,000
Reynoldsburg CSD: $313,000
South-Western CSD: $300,000
Marysville CSD: $322,000
15
Worthington CSD: $273,500
South-Western CSD: $260,000
Marysville CSD: $325,000
Blacklick: $309,500
Canal Winchester CSD: $320,000
Marysville CSD: $318,750
Canal Winchester CSD: $325,000
16
Canal Winchester CSD: $295,000
Reynoldsburg CSD: $293,500
Canal Winchester CSD: $327,500
Johnstown-Monroe LSD: $311,000
Pataskala: $339,500
Blacklick: $348,000
Blacklick: $330,100
17
Blacklick: $299,000
Marysville CSD: $299,900
Gahanna Jefferson CSD: $329,750
Teays Valley LSD: $312,900
Marysville CSD: $342,500
Teays Valley LSD: $348,810
Pataskala: $344,000
18
Teays Valley LSD: $300,000
Buckeye Valley LSD: $302,450
Pataskala: $340,000
Canal Winchester CSD: $325,000
Westerville CSD: $346,000
Grove City: $352,041
Teays Valley LSD: $345,000
19
Delaware CSD: $310,000
Gahanna: $303,500
Beechwold/Clintonville: $343,500
Worthington CSD: $329,101
Downtown/Grove City: $350,000
Delaware CSD: $360,000
Grove City: $350,000
20
Westerville CSD: $324,900
Grove City: $310,000
Obetz/Hilliard CSD: $345,000
Reynoldsburg CSD: $330,000
Gahanna: $353,500
Pataskala: $367,500
Delaware CSD: $350,500
Top 10 Markets with the Largest Median Sales Price Change Year-to-Date June 2022 to June 2023
Rank
Year to Date June 2022 to June 2023
1
New Albany: $100,000
2
Dublin CSD: $66,500
3
Minerva Park: $55,400
4
Bexley: $55,000
5
German Village: $50,000
6
Upper Arlington CSD: $46,550
7
Dublin: $45,000
8
Buckeye Valley LSD: $41,900
9
Newark CSD: $39,723
10
Lithopolis: $36,000
Top 10 Markets with the Smallest Median Sales Price Change Year-to-Date June 2022 to June 2023
Rank
Year-to-Date June 2022 to June 2023
1
Grandview Heights: -$70,000
2
Granville CSD: -$25,000
3
Canal Winchester CSD: -$20,750
4
Pataskala: -$20,000
5
Miami Trace LSD: -$9,500
6
Jefferson LSD: -$3,200
7
Marysville CSD: -$2,700
8
London CSD: -$1,842
9
Pickerington LSD: -$350
10
Gahanna: -$250
Top 10 Markets with the Most New Listings Year-to-Date June 2022 to June 2023
Rank
January-June Total Closed Sales
Year-to-Date Change June 2022 to June 2023
1
Columbus: 4,526
-19.8%
2
Columbus CSD: 3,060
-21.1%
3
South-Western CSD: 805
-16.3%
4
Olentangy LSD: 678
-1.2%
5
Hilliard CSD: 539
-10.9%
6
Westerville CSD: 523
-20.0%
7
Dublin CSD: 476
-16.8%
8
Pickerington LSD: 367
+4.6%
9
Grove City: 319
-22.6%
10
Worthington: 319
-15.6%
Top 10 Markets with the Most Closed Sales Year-to-Date June 2022 to June 2023
Rank
January-June Total Closed Sales
Year-to-Date Change June 2022 to June 2023
1
Columbus: 4,526
-19.8%
2
Columbus CSD: 3,060
-21.1%
3
South-Western CSD: 805
-16.3%
4
Olentangy LSD: 678
-1.2%
5
Hilliard CSD: 539
-10.9%
6
Westerville CSD: 523
-20.0%
7
Dublin CSD: 476
-16.8%
8
Pickerington LSD: 367
+4.6%
9
Grove City: 319
-22.6%
10
Worthington: 319
-15.6%
Top 10 Fastest-Selling Markets Year-to-Date 2023 by # of Days on Market Before Sale
Rank
# of Days Before Sale
Year-to-Date 2022 to 2023
1
Westerville: 10
66.7%
2
Westerville CSD: 13
62.5%
3
Gahanna: 14
133.3%
4
Hilliard: 14
100%
5
Minerva Park: 14
180%
6
New Albany Plain LSD: 14
-17.6%
7
Dublin: 15
50%
8
Worthington CSD: 15
114.3%
9
Bexley: 17
13.3%
10
German Village: 17
41.7%
11
Worthington: 17
142.9%
Top 10 Slowest-Selling Markets Year-to-Date 2023 by # of Days on Market Before Sale
Columbus city officials have been working on updating zoning codes for more than a year. In many cases, the codes haven’t been updated since the 1960s or earlier, when priorities were significantly different than they are now. Developers wanting to build more density in neighborhoods and even along high-traffic corridors are often forced to go through lengthy and expensive variance requests. This raises costs for projects- and ultimately rents- and prevents the necessary density to address the long-standing housing shortage. The zoning change code map link below shows the initial areas that could see updates.
The focus areas of the update- at least in the first phase, are detailed on the following map: Zoning Code Change Focus Areas
The first phase largely looks at the city’s main corridors. Later phases will look at updates in all neighborhoods. Although no specific changes have been confirmed as of yet, it’s possible that the city may do away with single-family exclusionary zoning. What this means is that, outside of historic areas, neighborhoods won’t be limited to single-family housing restrictions. Higher density projects, including doubles and multi-family projects, would be allowed in places where they are not essentially off-limits. Other changes may include reducing or eliminating parking minimums and significantly raising height restrictions.
There’s been a lot of media attention to recent shootings in the Short North this year. It’s supposedly gotten so bad, that Mayor Ginther has asked local businesses in the neighborhood to close by Midnight. But has the violence really spiraled out of control, especially compared to other areas in the city. Is the Short North dangerous now? Or is the area just getting more attention due to its status as a hot neighborhood popular with locals and tourists alike?
First, let’s take a look at homicides and homicide rates across Franklin County by Census Tract. The numbers are through May 17th and the rates are total homicides divided by the 100K people per tract.
The first thing that sticks out is that the map has a whole lot of white areas, meaning most of the county and most of Columbus have seen zero homicides so far this year. The areas that have seen them do not appear to be much different than previous years- Hilltop, the Far West, the Near South, parts of Linden, and Northland. The Short North has had 1 homicide this year, which is certainly more than normal, but arguably not an epidemic even if gun violence overall is up. The other thing that sticks out is that most homicides are occurring in relatively small areas, and are often tied to certain streets or even certain businesses or residential complexes.
Using this map, we’ll next take a look at the overall homicide rates of specific neighborhoods and areas in and around Columbus to see where the whole of the Short North really ranks.
The ranking gives the neighborhood, how many tracts make it up, the 2020 population, total homicides and the homicide rate per 100,000 people. 1. Franklinton- 3 Tracts- 6,482- 3 Homicides- 46.28 Franklinton is still the most dangerous part of Columbus, and it’s really not even close. This is despite significant redevelopment in the neighborhood. 2. Near South- 13 Tracts- 35,026- 7 Homicides- 19.99 The Near South comes in a distant 2nd place. It includes a much larger area than Franklinton, but about half of the homicides occurred in the 3 tracts to the southeast of Nationwide Children’s Hospital. Places like German and Merion Village have had none. 3. Weinland Park- 2 Tracts- 6,393- 1 Homicide- 15.64 It seems a little unfair to rank Weinland Park 3rd when it’s only had a single homicide, but that’s just how the math works out. The single homicide has been lumped in with the Short North by some media, but it occurred well north across from Campus. 4. Near East- 9 Tracts- 21,841- 3 Homicides- 13.74 The Near East Side ranks 4th for the year so far. It’s been somewhat quieter than normal in this part of the city. 5. Linden- 14 Tracts- 41,627- 5 Homicides- 12.01 Similar to the Near East, Linden has been a bit more quiet than normal despite the relatively bad year Columbus is having. 5. Hilltop- 16 Tracts- 68,045- 8 Homicides- 11.76 Hilltop has had the 2nd most homicides of any of the neighborhoods looked at, but it’s also one of the largest and highest-populated as well, so the rate was lower than those above. 6. Northland- 18 Tracts- 89,165- 9 Homicides- 10.09 Northland has had the most homicides so far of any area of the city or county. Like Hilltop, however, its higher population means its rate is still relatively lower. 7. Short North- 4 Tracts- 12,472- 1 Homicide: 8.07 The Short North’s single homicide puts the neighborhood in 7th place overall. The rate itself is only slightly above that of the entirety of Columbus, so it doesn’t seem to be much of an outlier. 8. Far West- 11 Tracts- 51,308- 3 Homicides- 5.85 The Far West is the only neighborhood looked at that is entirely outside of I-270. It’s rate is only about 60% of the overall Columbus rate at this point in the year. 9. OSU Campus- 12 Tracts- 55,281- 2 Homicides- 3.62 Another large and heavily-populated area, the Campus neighborhood has been fairly safe so far this year. 10. Downtown- 5 Tracts- 12,297- 0 Homicides- 0.0 Downtown has had no homicides so far this year, a departure from last year in which it had already seen 1 at this point on its way to a total of 4 for 2022. 11. Whitehall- 8 Tracts- 23,054- 0 Homicides- 0.0 Another area I think that has had a somewhat negative reputation for crime is Whitehall, the only non-Columbus area looked at. It’s also had no homicides so far this year.
Overall, the neighborhoods above have accounted for 42 of the 65 total homicides so far this year, or about 65%. Most of the rest were very scattered.
So is the Short North dangerous? Not in terms of homicides, no, but that doesn’t mean that recent crime trends should be ignored. That said, it’s pretty clear other neighborhoods are much more deserving of attention in this regard, but may not have the economic or social clout to demand it. Of course, it also needs to be said that homicides are just a single type of crime. An examination of other types of crime may show a completely different story, but those other types rarely get the kind of breathless, hyperbolic reporting that homicides do.
Years ago- originally in 2013 and later reposted in 2016- I made a rather crude map of how I thought the Westland Mall site should be redeveloped.. It seems that the mall may finally be torn down soon after a long period of deterioration, so I figured it was time to revisit this map once more, but this time update it in detail and give a much clearer sense of how redeveloping Westland Mall would drastically change the entire West Side.
One of the problems with the original map was that it really didn’t take into account the massive size of the entire site and how many decent-sized buildings could truly fit within it. While on the old map I used single, general boxes to convey multiple buildings, this time I actually laid out nearly 50 of them. These mixed-use buildings are all a minimum of 4 stories and contain residential, office, hotel and retail/restaurant space. Each of these buildings could hold 100 or more residential units, so there could easily be several thousand new residents in this neighborhood. 3 parking garages of various sizes are also included, with enough combined space for thousands of parking spaces. The garages would mostly be covered by new walk-up condo or apartment units. A new park avenue street grid connects these garages and all other buildings, with a central roundabout plaza flanked by retail and restaurant locations. Between the streets, a series of pedestrian-only alleyways provide convenient places for outdoor patio seating for any restaurants and retail locations. One of the biggest changes on the new map is that the park space has become significantly larger, almost doubling in size to more than 18 acres. This would be a significant new park for the West Side, something this part of the city doesn’t have much of. The closest park is also fairly new- Wilson Road Park- which opened in 2017, but its out-of-the-way location makes it somewhat underused. The new Westland park would be lined with retail and restaurant space overlooking it, and a new outdoor market would sit on the northern end- perhaps another extension of North Market similar to what Bridge Park received? There are also new connections to the park and overall development. Multi-use path connections could be built on the eastern end along the old Shopper’s Lane, a western connection that travels under or over I-270 to the large residential area south of Lincoln Village, and a southern path would connect directly to the Camp Chase Trail. The old Lincoln Park West apartment complex would also have adjacent access. A rapid-transit station could go on West Broad Street in front of the entire complex as part of the LinkUS plan. Finally, another big difference between this and the old map is that I tried to be a bit less Sim City about it, meaning that I largely stuck with the existing Westland site and didn’t go beyond it. However, the light yellow areas are all potential future redevelopment locations. These areas are mostly low-density retail strip centers or big box stores with large parking lots. Over time, these areas could be redeveloped to create an enormous, 160-acre redevelopment of the Westland area. For comparison, Dublin’s Bridge Park is only about 40 acres and Jeffrey Park in Italian Village is about 42 acres, with both developments being good examples of what could be done on the Westland site. In fact, Easton is the only comparable area. The potential is incredible and would finally give West Siders the destination and transformative development they’ve been asking for.
To date, there have been no solid plans released about the future of the Westland site by its owners. However, given that they’ve already sold off a small part of the site on Broad Street for a gas station, the chances that they have any significant, urban vision for it seem to be very slim. In reality, I would expect a suburban-style apartment development with fast-food outlets and another strip retail center, adding to the car-dominated stroad hellscape that already exists on West Broad Street now. The only way to avoid that outcome is for residents to demand better.