Columbus’ 2020 Economic Performance




Columbus' 2020 economic performance

As with everywhere else in the country, Columbus has not gone unscathed by the Covid-19 pandemic and its related economic fallout.  Just how bad did the situation get, though, and how was Columbus’ 20202 economic performance overall? Has it recovered since reaching pandemic bottom?

To find out, we’ll look at the latest economic data ending in January 2021.

First, here are the historic and current Ohio Covid-19 numbers.

Covid 19 Cases and Deaths in Ohio


In Ohio, the pandemic generally began in early January, though Ohio didn’t originally announce any cases until the end of February.

March 2020 marked the official beginning of the pandemic. It was on March 11th, 2020, however, that truly brought out the seriousness of the situation. On that day, multiple news stories all happened simultaneously. The WHO finally declared the situation a pandemic, state and local shutdowns began, Trump gave a national televised address announcing travel bans to Europe, and the stock market had one of its largest drops in history. The pile of bad news would begin affecting the economy almost immediately.

In Ohio, cases and deaths also began to add up quickly in March. As stay-at-home orders were issued and people stopped going out, there were mass layoffs across every industry of the economy.

So how was this all reflected in the economic data?

Columbus Metro Labor Force

The metro’s labor force was initially unfazed and reached peak in February 2020, slightly higher than the 2019 peak. However, March lost more than 20,000 from the labor force and April lost almost 36,000 more.
The losses were mostly temporary, with a new peak being reached in October. However, the labor forced declined going into the late fall and winter as the 3rd- and worst- wave hit.

Columbus Metro Total Employed and Unemployed


Employed totals were hit far harder than the labor force overall. More than 158K fewer people were employed in April versus February, a nearly 15% drop. Total employed has gone up since the bottom, but was still below the pre-Covid peak through January 2021.

Columbus Metro Unemployment Rate

The 13% unemployment in April was one of the highest outside of the Great Depression and nearly 4 points higher than the 2009-2010 recession. Unemployment fell through the end of 2020, but remained higher that pre-Covid levels.
Columbus’ unemployment rate was a full point below the national average in January, a sign of its continuing economic resilience even during some of the worst economic conditions in generations.

Columbus Metro Non-Farm Jobs

Non-farm jobs in the metro area had peaked in November 2019 and had been declining even before the pandemic set in. Between February and April, 2020, 150,000 non-farm jobs were lost in the metro. As of January 2021, the metro was still short about 71,000 from the 2019 peak.



Now let’s take a closer look at how individual industries have performed.

Columbus Jobs by Industry

While the mining/logging/construction group did manage to get close to pre-Covid levels, it has been in general decline since last September, likely due to the 3rd wave that began in October.


Manufacturing, surprisingly, has recovered completely, and jobs in the industry continued to rise through the 3rd wave.


This industry group has also recovered fairly well, being close to where it was pre-Covid.


Information jobs were already in a long-term decline before the pandemic, but still faced a steep drop during the spring. Those lost jobs have not come back.


Financial activities jobs did not seem to face a significant decline, and have mostly recovered.


Professional and business services jobs were hit relatively hard during the economic collapse, and have only managed to recover about half of the losses through January.


Another hard-hit industry group, the majority of the losses in the Health/Education group probably stem from the education side given that in-person schools have been mostly shut down the past year. Still, the industry group had recovered about 2/3rds of the losses through January.


Government jobs typically see a significant mid-year drop, but it was much more severe in 2020. This category has not yet recovered fully.


Other services jobs are typically pretty steady year over year and don’t see large changes. Obviously they did during the downturn, however. They have mostly recovered, although seemingly at a readjusted lower level.


The leisure and hospitality industry was absolutely devastated, losing nearly 50% of all jobs. It has recovered some, but January still featured the fewest jobs in the industry since February 2003.

The Conclusion
So as we can see, recovery for some industries is *far* better than others. Service industries have done much worse overall and continue to be below pre-Covid levels. This is not really all that surprising when restaurants, bars and other entertainment spots have faced the brunt of hardship. It remains to be seen how everything from economic stimulus packages to vaccination rates affect 2021, but it’s hard to imagine anything worse than last year.

To get more local and national economic data, check out The Bureau of Labor Statistics



Columbus Relocation Resources



The Short North.

Columbus has been growing steadily its entire existance. The past 10 years have seen its fastest growth ever, however.
The city is attracting new residents not just from other parts of Ohio, but from across the United States and world. 50% of its overall growth is made up by either domestic migration or immigration from other nations.

There is now a steady stream of prospective residents in search for answers about the city and metro area. Hopefully, this post provides some of those desired answers.

Let’s look at some of the most common questions and attempt to provide the necessary information.

1. What are the most desirable places to live in Columbus?
The answer to this question depends on what someone is searching for. For this question, we’ll base the answer on 5 categories- affordability, walkability, safety, schools and access to amenities. Based on these topics, here are the most-recommended urban neighborhoods.

Click on any neighborhood to find out more information.

1. The Short North, including Italian Village and Victorian Village
Arguably the heart of Columbus’ urban core, the Short North is one of the most complete Midwest urban neighborhoods outside Chicago. While it has tons of amenities and walkability, a few potential negatives include the lack of parking and higher housing costs.
2. German Village and the Brewery District
German Village is one of the largest historic districts in the United States. Its preserved 19th Century brick buildings and streets, walkable amenities and landscaped parks make it one of Columbus’ most uniquely beautiful neighborhoods. However, all that beauty can come with higher housing prices and very strict preservation rules.
3. Downtown and the Arena District
The Downtown area, which includes the Arena District, is a rapidly growing area with tons of new housing and entertainment amenities. It is very walkable and the central hub of the city’s transit system.
4. Clintonville
Located just north of the massive Ohio State Campus, Clintonville is a larger, more family-oriented neighborhood with quality housing and decent schools.
5. Merion Village, Schumacher Place, Franklinton, Weinland Park, Olde Towne East, Westgate and Old North Columbus
These neighborhoods are for those who are okay with neighborhoods in transition. They are more affordable than the top 4, but also in various stages of revitalization. These neighborhoods provide some of the best long-term investment opportunities so long as you can look past some grit.

Based on the same criteria, here are the most-recommended suburbs.

1. Dublin
This outer northwest suburb has a great mix of urban and suburban neighborhoods, with plenty of options for most tastes. Great schools and a one of the most diverse suburban populations make Dublin a popular choice. Negatives include a general lack of transit and higher housing costs.
2. Bexley
Bexley is one of the oldest inner suburbs in the city. Its attractive older homes and beautiful tree-lined streets are right out of a John Hughes film. Great schools and walkable retail corridors make this suburb highly desirable. However, negatives include high property taxes and higher housing costs.
3. Grandview Heights
Grandview is another more urban inner suburb with a great mix of quality housing stock and amenities. Schools are also very good. Negatives include a very tight housing market that make finding a home difficult, along with higher costs.
4. Upper Arlington
This inner suburb is well known for its terrific schools and quality of life. It is more suburban in nature than other inner suburbs, and therefore a negative is its general lack of walkability to amenities. The cost of housing is generally higher.
5. Westerville
Westerville is a northern, outer traditional suburb. Positives include a nice, walkable downtown area and much less expensive housing the other suburbs on the list.

This list of urban and suburban places is just a starter list and is not to be limiting.

2. What are the best ways to find somewhere to live?
Beyond going with a realtor or doing internet searches, the best way to find somewhere to live is to visit your preferred neighborhood. Some house and apartments may not be advertised online, specifically those sales being managed by the owner. Another potential way is to visit local neighborhood social media sites to see if anyone has advertised their home or apartment. With the extremely fast-moving Columbus market, thinking outside the box can be beneficial.

As for more traditional ways of finding a house or apartment, here are some helpful resources.
The Columbus Land Bank Center
Columbus Realtors
Zillow
Realtor

3. What are some resources to help immigrate to Columbus from another country?
Because immgration is a large part of Columbus’ growth, resources for immigrants are also readily available. Here are some of the most useful for prospective and recent immigrants to Columbus.
Community Refugee and Immigraton Services
New Americans Initiative
US Citizenship and Immigration Services

4. Where can I find more information about the city and its quality of life?
For many more links on Columbus activities, local government, schools and much more, check out the Columbus Links and Resources