The Scioto Peninsula Reborn




The Scioto Peninsula reborn

The Scioto Peninsula looking east.

The history of the Scioto Peninsula is much the same as the Franklinton neighborhood it resides in. Since Franklinton’s founding in 1797 (Columbus’ oldest neighborhood and predates Columbus itself by 15 years), it did not take long to figure out the area’s one major flaw: Floods. Essentially built upon a river flood plain, Franklinton flooded several times during the 19th century, but the most devastating came in 1913 and 1959. The 1913 flood, Ohio’s deadliest and most widespread natural disaster, inundated Franklinton with up to 20 feet of water in places, and the neighborhood flooded all the way back to where present-day I-70 cuts through the far western border. Franklinton suffered massive damage, and over 100 people died along the Scioto in Columbus. The flood in 1959 was less severe, thanks to flood protections put into place after 1913, but one consequence of this flood was that new construction and most renovation was all but prohibited due to the flood risk. This helped to stagnate the entire neighborhood, and combined with the urban decline for the next several decades, Franklinton gradually fell into disrepair. The Scioto Peninsula, the far eastern section of the neighborhood just across from Downtown, was always the hardest hit by flooding. As such, the 56-acre peninsula gradually became a manufacturing and warehouse site, although a few thousand people did live there in low-income housing projects. Central High School also helped to maintain a residential presence.

As manufacturing declined and more people left the urban core, the warehouses and businesses closed shop. Many were bulldozed into vacant lots. Central High was closed as a school in the early 1980s. By the mid-1990s, the area was largely empty except for Veteran’s Memorial and a handful of housing developments and businesses. Plans were in the works to help bring Franklinton back, however, and construction of the Franklinton Floodwall began at this time. This construction helped encourage COSI to move into Central High, renovating and expanding the old building in exhibit and museum space. Most of the rest of the peninsula became surface parking. In 2004, with the completion of the floodwall, building restrictions were finally lifted, but for several years, little happened. The stigma of a neighborhood in decline kept development interests away.

In 2010, Columbus came out with a list of 12 projects it wanted to accomplish in the downtown area. Some of them have come to pass, such as the renovation of the riverfront with Scioto Mile and the redevelopment of City Center into Columbus Commons. Another one of these projects was the redevelopment of the Scioto Peninsula. The city saw an opportunity in so much empty land so close to Downtown, especially coinciding with the emerging back-to-the-city movement. This prime real estate was ripe. The city began planning of this project early in 2012, as East Franklinton itself began to emerge as an artist destination. The Short North has, more or less, reached the final stage of gentrification. It’s become upscale, attracting high end retail and residential, as the number of art galleries has gradually declined due to rising rents. Franklinton has proven to be an attractive alternative, with such live-work projects as 400 Rich, which grew rapidly in its first year. Residential projects are now in the works, as well as more artist space, warehouse conversions and new bars and restaurants.

General plan for the Peninsula.

A few months back, details of the Peninsula’s redevelopment plan began to trickle out, but the official announcement finally came yesterday. Here is what we now know of the plan:

1. Veterans Memorial, built in 1955 and expanded/renovated a few times over the years, will be torn down and replaced with a new Vets. This new Vets will be of modern design, spiral in shape with glass walls and a rooftop, outdoor amphitheater. Inside will be an Ohio military museum, along with meeting and event space. Estimated costs run around $50 million.
Old Vets Memorial


New Veterans Memorial



2. Southwest of COSI, the Columbus Zoo will build a $50+ million, 50,000 square foot zoo extension. The building will include an aquarium, rainforest, outdoor zoo-themed playground and other exhibits.

3. Where the current COSI parking lots are, a large underground parking garage will be constructed to serve the 3 attractions. Once complete, the garage will be covered by a large central park.
4. While not yet designed and weren’t talked about yesterday, previous details have included elevated walkways connecting all 3 buildings across the peninsula.
5. Between Bell Street and the railroad tracts that run along the western border of the peninsula, a mix of low, mid and high-rise mixed-use buildings will go in. Ground floor retail will line streets while upper floors will be mostly residential. Between 1,000 and 1,200 residential units are planned, but private interests could easily include more given the very high demand for urban residential and the fantastic location with views of Downtown and the river. Estimated costs exceed $100 million.
6. Not included specifically in the peninsula plan, but surely also impacting it, will be the Scioto River itself. Another one of the 12 projects is the removal of low-head dams through Downtown. This will lower the river level through Downtown, creating 33 acres of new land that will be landscaped into park space. Bike paths and walkways will also be constructed on this new land. The river itself will run faster, cleaner and open up more potential recreational uses. This project is set to begin this fall and complete in 2015. Estimated costs for the project are around $25 million.

The Riverfront after reconstruction.

The Riverfront now.

7. After the completion of the river restoration project, another one of the 12 ideas should begin. That will be the construction of a signature pedestrian bridge connecting North Bank Park in the Arena District with the Scioto Peninsula near the new Vets. There are no cost estimates at this time.

So given all this, the Scioto River and the Scioto Peninsula are looking at several hundred million in investment and development over the next several years. This will radically change the riverfront, and has the potential to jumpstart Franklinton, especially eastern parts, in ways not seen in many decades.

Much more about local development can be found here:
Development Under Construction
Proposed Development



Housing Impact of Immigration



Housing impact of immigration

The Impact of Immigration on the Housing Market

For this link, you can zoom to county level and see the housing impact of immigration. Basically, the more immigration, the greater the impact.

Columbus Housing Market May 2013



May home sales set a record for the month.
Columbus housing market May 2013

Through May, total sales are also way up, and were the 2nd highest for the 2000-2013 period.

The average May home sales price was the highest since 2006.

The average January-May sales price was also up.

To me, all this shows is that after the Recession’s downturn, housing in the Columbus area is seeing a strong recovery. In some cases, the recovery is already surpassing the market that existed pre-Recession.



May Project Updates



May project updates Neighborhood Launch

Just a few May project updates. These represent only a small fraction of what’s going on in terms of local development.

Downtown
1. Neighborhood Launch’s expansion with a pair of new 5-story buildings containing 260 apartments continues. Located on E. Long Street, the buildings’ foundation work has been mostly completed and elevator shafts and the first steel frames are now going up, which means construction should really get going now. The timetable for these to be complete is late fall or winter.
2. Over at Columbus Commons, the Highpoint 300-unit residential project continues and at least one of the buildings is now reaching towards its 6th and final floor.
3. The Liberty Place 200+ unit residential expansion in the Brewery District is getting closer to being done with the external work, as brick and finishes are going on.
4. The mess that is the reconstruction of 670/71 also continues, but we’re still a year or so away from that being done… before the next phase begins closer to the 70/71 section.
5. Work continues on the restoration of the LeVeque Tower, but more details have emerged. Up to 70 residential units will be created in the tower section, along with lower floors having a new boutique hotel and office space. The lobby will be restored to its original 2-story look, and the entrance outside will get new marble, planters and lighting. The terra cotta exterior of the building will take up to 5 more years to complete, as 80 years of grime and damage have to be fixed. The other improvements should be done late this year or early next year.
6. Columbia Gas’ new HQ building in the Arena District has reached it’s maximum 6-story height with steel, but no exterior work is done yet.
7. The Flats II 120-unit residential building next door to that project is seeing exterior work being done and should be done later this summer or early fall. Reports have been coming out showing this and other residential projects nearby have extremely high rental interest already.
8. 600 Goodale, the 5-story 174-unit residential building is seeing exterior work now and should be done by the end of summer or fall.

Short North
1. Aston Place, a new residential project on Hubbard Avenue, is moving along and the elevator shaft is just about done, so steel should be going up soon.
2. The Hubbard project continues to the east. The 5-story, 68-unit residential building is all framed out and exterior work is beginning. The adjoining parking garage is complete and the 4 concealing townhomes should begin construction soon.
3. The Out of the Closet development at 5th and High is well underway, now completely framed out.



Columbus Housing Market April 2013



Columbus housing market April 2013 Columbus, Ohio

The Columbus Board of Realtors released home sales data for April and YTD recently. Their area covers an area a bit larger than the Columbus metro, so I tried to stick with just those areas within it. I also tried to avoid capturing essentially the same area (school district vs city boundary). There are a few exceptions where I wanted to highlight specific areas or neighborhoods of Columbus.

LSD=Local school district
CSD=City school district

Top 10 Home Sales % Change since April 2012
1. Bexley city: +137.5%
2. Sunbury city: +125.0%
3. Delaware LSD: +82.4%
4. Lancaster CSD: +74.2%
5. Hilliard city: +66.7%
6. Marysville CSD: +64.3%
7. Pataskala city: +57.1%
8. London CSD: +50.0%
9. Upper Arlington CSD: +48.9%
10. South-Western CSD: +47.8%

Top 10 Home Sales % Change 2013 Year to Date
1. Sunbury city: +78.6%
2. Lithopolis city: +66.7%
3. Bexley city: +50.0%
4. Gahanna city: +46.1%
5. Hilliard city: +45.5%
6. Delaware CSD: +44.3%
7. Westerville city: +40.3%
8. Whitehall city: +37.5%
9. Marysville CSD: +36.7%
10. Lancaster CSD: +36.0%

Bottom 10 Home Sales % Change since April 2012
1. Powell city: -55.6%
2. Minerva Park city: -50.0%
3. Whitehall city: -42.9%
4. German Village: -36.4%
5. Downtown: -29.6%
6. Obetz city: -20.0%
7. New Albany city: -14.3%
8. Worthington city: -12.5%
9. Grandview Heights city: -11.1%
10. Circleville CSD: -11.1%

Bottom 10 Home Sales % Change 2013 Year to Date
1. Obetz city: -61.9%
2. Granville CSD: -31.3%
3. Worthington city: -11.3%
4. New Albany city: -5.8%
5. Grandview Heights city: -3.7%
6. Valleyview city: 0.0%
7. Powell city: +3.7%
8. Canal Winchester CSD: +3.9%
9. Newark CSD: +10.1%
10. Johnstown CSD: +11.5%

So it looks like, so far… in the urban core, Bexley, Upper Arlington and Whitehall are all having a good sales year, while Worthington and Grandview Heights are not. Downtown had a bad April, but is doing well for the year. Same with German Village. Suburbs performing well include Delaware, Hilliard and Sunbury. Those performing badly include New Albany and Powell.

Top 10 Turnover (Average # of Days on the Market before Sold) in April 2013
1. Valleyview city: 0 Days
2. Plain City CSD: 25 Days
3. Sunbury city: 27 Days
4. German Village: 29 Days
4. Obetz city: 29 Days
4. Worthington city: 29 Days
5. Powell city: 43 Days
6. Upper Arlington CSD: 47 Days
7. Beechwold/Clintonville: 49 Days
8. Gahanna city: 52 Days
8. Pataskala city: 52 Days
9. Lithopolis city: 54 Days
10. Grandview Heights city: 56 Days

Bottom 10 Turnover for April 2013
1. Circleville CSD: 164 Days
2. London CSD: 131 Days
3. Newark CSD: 123 Days
4. Minerva Park city: 116 Days
5. Downtown: 105 Days
6. Marysville CSD: 102 Days
7. Lancaster CSD: 98 Days
8. Delaware CSD: 92 Days
9. Blacklick: 88 Days
10. Bexley city: 80 Days

Top 10 Turnover 2013 Year to Date
1. Worthington city: 42 Days
2. Plain City CSD: 46 Days
3. Obetz city: 48 Days
4. Upper Arlington CSD: 60 Days
5. Pickerington city: 65 Days
6. Pataskala city: 67 Days
6. Whitehall city: 67 Days
7. Beechwold/Clintonville: 68 Days
7. Grandview Heights city: 68 Days
7. Minerva Park city: 68 Days
8. Groveport LSD: 69 Days
8. Reynoldsburg LSD: 69 Days
8. South Western CSD: 69 Days
9. German Village: 70 Days
9. Powell city: 70 Days
9. Westerville city: 70 Days
9. Worthington city: 70 Days
10. Columbus city: 72 Days

Bottom 10 Turnover 2013 Year to Date
1. Valleyview city: 151 Days
2. Circleville CSD: 148 Days
3. Newark CSD: 117 Days
4. London CSD: 115 Days
5. Bexley city: 97 Days
6. Lancaster CSD: 96 Days
7. Delaware CSD: 90 Days
7. Hilliard city: 90 Days
7. New Albany city: 90 Days
8. Johnstown LSD: 89 Days
9. Downtown: 87 Days
9. Lithopolis city: 87 Days
9. Marysville CSD: 87 Days
10. West Jefferson LSD: 86 Days

# of Months Total On-Market Housing Supply Would Last if No Other Homes Became Available, April 2013- Top 10
1. Valleyview city: 1.6 Months
2. Worthington city: 1.8 Months
3. Grandview Heights city: 2.0 Months
4. Upper Arlington CSD: 2.3 Months
5. Sunbury city: 2.5 Months
6. Hilliard city: 2.7 Months
7. Beechwold/Clintonville: 2.8 Months
8. Powell city: 2.9 Months
8. Westerville city: 2.9 Months
9. Gahanna city: 3.1 Months
10. Johnstown LSD: 3.2 Months

And Bottom 10
1. Granville CSD: 9.2 Months
2. London CSD: 8.7 Months
3. Circleville CSD: 8.6 Months
4. Newark CSD: 7.4 Months
5. Pataskala city: 5.9 Months
6. Lancaster CSD: 5.8 Months
7. Obetz city: 5.0 Months
8. South Western CSD: 4.8 Months
9. Canal Winchester CSD, Marysville CSD, New Albany city, Reynoldsburg CSD: 4.6 Months
10. Columbus city, Grove City city: 4.5 Months

With the supply numbers, generally anything around 5 months is considered a healthy supply. Well over and the market is saturated, well under it’s undersupplied. For the record, Downtown’s supply is 4.1 months.

Top 10 Average Sales Price % Change Year to Date
1. Valleyview city: +52.3%
2. Circleville CSD: +29.8%
3. Johnstown LSD: +26.7%
4. Minerva Park city: +23.7%
5. Gahanna city: +22.6%
6. Marysville CSD: +22.3%
7. Downtown: +19.9%
8. Lancaster CSD: +17.6%
9. Reynoldsburg CSD: +14.0%
10. Bexley city: +11.3%

Bottom 10
1. Grandview Heights city: -26.1%
2. Pataskala city: -22.3%
3. Obetz city: -15.6%
4. Granville CSD: -10.9%
5. Sunbury city: -10.8%
6. Blacklick: -10.5%
7. German Village: -5.3%
8. New Albany city: -3.5%
9. Westerville city: -3.2%
10. Plain City LSD: -1.9%

If you don’t see a market listed you’re curious about, check out the April 2013 Market Report may have what you’re looking for.