Columbus: 2014 Population Estimates and the Future

In the recent 2014 city population estimates, Columbus remained the 15th largest in the United States. I wanted to take a look at how it is doing compared to other large
national cities along with Midwest peers.

July 1, 2014 City Population Estimate by National Rank
1. New York, NY: 8,491,079
2. Los Angeles, CA: 3,928,864
3. Chicago, IL: 2,722,389
4. Houston, TX: 2,239,558
5. Philadelphia, PA: 1,560,297
6. Phoenix, AZ: 1,537,058
7. San Antonio, TX: 1,436,697
8. San Diego, CA: 1,381,069
9. Dallas, TX: 1,281,047
10. San Jose, CA: 1,015,785
11. Austin, TX: 912,791
12. Jacksonville, FL: 853,382
13. San Francisco, CA: 852,469
14. Indianapolis: 848,788
15. Columbus: 835,957
16. Ft. Worth, TX: 812,238
17. Charlotte, NC: 809,958
18. Detroit, MI: 680,250
19. El Paso, TX: 679,036
20. Seattle, WA: 668,342
21. Denver, CO: 663,862
22. Washington, DC: 658,893
23. Memphis, TN: 656,861
24. Boston, MA: 655,884
25. Nashville, TN: 644,014
26. Baltimore, MD: 622,793
27. Oklahoma City, OK: 620,602
28. Portland, OR: 619,360
29. Las Vegas, NV: 613,599
30. Louisville, KY: 612,780
31. Milwaukee, WI: 599,642
32. Albuquerque, NM: 557,169
33. Tucson, AZ: 527,972
34. Fresno, CA: 515,986
35. Sacramento, CA: 485,199
36. Long Beach, CA: 473,577
37. Kansas City, MO : 470,800
38. Mesa, AZ: 464,704
39. Atlanta, GA: 464,704
40. Virginia Beach, VA: 450,980
41. Omaha, NE: 446,599
42. Colorado Springs, CO: 445,830
43. Raleigh, NC: 439,896
44. Miami, FL: 430,332
45. Oakland, CA: 413,775
46. Minneapolis, MN: 407,207
47. Tulsa, OK: 399,682
48. Cleveland: 389,521
49. Wichita, KS: 388,413
50. New Orleans, LA: 384,320
60. St. Louis, MO: 317,419
62. Pittsburgh, PA: 305,412
65. Cincinnati: 298,165
66. St. Paul, MN: 297,640
68. Toledo, OH: 281,031
72. Lincoln, NE: 272,996
73. Orlando, FL: 262,372
77. Fort Wayne, IN: 258,522
83. Madison, WI: 245,691
105. Des Moines, IA: 209,220
118. Akron: 197,859
183. Dayton: 141,003
472. Canton: 72,297
545. Youngstown: 65,062


Total Population Change 2013-2014 and Census 2010-2014 in ()

1. New York, NY: +52,700 (+316,120)
2. Houston, TX: +35,752 (+142,897)
3. Los Angeles, CA: +30,924 (+136,207)
4. Austin, TX: +25,667 (+101,333)
5. San Antonio, TX: +24,931 (+109,141)
6. Phoenix, AZ: +24,616 (+89,441)
7. San Diego, CA: +21,225 (+79,448)
8. Dallas, TX: +20,322 (+83,255)
9. Fort Worth, TX: +18,183 (+70,178)
10. Charlotte, NC: +16,007 (+74,200)
11. Denver, CO: +15,461 (+63,837)
12. Seattle, WA: +14,938 (+59,684)
13. Columbus: +12,421 (+47,303)
14. San Jose, CA: +11,964 (+63,225)
15. San Francisco, CA: +11,331 (+47,274)
16. Las Vegas, NV: +9,929 (+29,359)
17. Portland, OR: +9,840 (+35,571)
18. Washington, DC: +9,782 (+57,126)
19. Oklahoma City, OK: +9,572 (+40,594)
20. Jacksonville, FL: +9,368 (+31,598)
21. Nashville, TN: +9,144 (+40,508)
22. Miami, FL: +8,969 (+30,824)
23. Raleigh, NC: +8,179 (+35,925)
24. Atlanta, GA: +7,593 (+34,746)
25. Orlando, FL: +6,940 (+23,538)
26. Minneapolis, MN: +6,560 (+24,608)
27. Mesa, AZ: +6,357 (+24,839)
28. Oakland, CA: +6,108 (+22,870)
29. Boston, MA: +5,967 (+38,204)
30. Fresno, CA: +5,698 (+19,906)
31. Colorado Springs, CO: +5,693 (+28,489)
32. Omaha, NE: +5,552 (+23,272)
33. Indianapolis, IN: +5,413 (+28,347)
34. New Orleans, LA: +5,314 (+40,491)
35. Sacramento, CA: +4,975 (+18,711)
36. Philadelphia, PA: +4,245 (+34,291)
37. Lincoln, NE: +4,041 (+14,528)
38. Kansas City, MO: +3,547 (+11,013)
39. Madison, WI: +2,479 (+12,362)
40. Louisville, KY: +2,305 (+15,515)
41. El Paso, TX: +2,245 (+29,903)
42. St. Paul, MN: +2,209 (+12,572)
43. Long Beach, CA: +2,097 (+11,320)
44. Virginia Beach, VA: +1,672 (+13,014)
45. Fort Wayne, IN: +1,658 (+4,822)
46. Des Moines, IA: +1,565 (+5,034)
47. Tucson, AZ: +1,450 (+7,411)
48. Wichita, KS: +1,361 (+6,027)
49. Tulsa, OK: +1,278 (+7,760)
50. Cincinnati: +547 (+1,215)
51. Albuquerque, NM: +336 (+10,809)
52. Milwaukee, WI: +139 (+4,904)
53. Chicago, IL: +82 (+26,791)
54. Canton: -267 (-720)
55. Akron: -299 (-1,233)
56. Youngstown: -431 (-1,920)
57. Baltimore, MD: -611 (+1,672)
58. Dayton: -897 (-758)
59. St. Louis, MO: -1,077 (-1,946)
60. Pittsburgh, PA: -1,314 (-290)
61. Toledo: -1,602 (-6,175)
62. Cleveland: -1,635 (-7,176)
63. Memphis, TN: -1,647 (+5,003)
64. Detroit, MI: -6,424 (-33,612)

Columbus was the 13th fastest growing major city from 2013-2014, and the 15th fastest-growing from the 2010 Census to 2014. It was also the fastest-growing Midwestern city and the 2nd fastest-growing outside of the South and West, behind only New York.

But what about future population rankings? Currently, Columbus is 15th largest, but what about by 2020 and beyond? It’s difficult to project population out very far because rates can change significantly over time. Assuming that all cities grow at the same rate through say, 2030, where might Columbus be?

The chart is somewhat difficult to read, so let me explain. Each city has projected numbers for each 5-year period starting at 2015 and going to 2035. You can rank the cities by looking at where the numbers are on the chart relative to each other. Here is Columbus’ ranking on the chart:

2015: 6th, behind Austin, San Francisco, San Jose, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. It would remain 15th place nationally.
2020: 5th, behind Austin, Fort Worth, San Francisco and San Jose. It would rank 14th place nationally.
2025: 6th, behind Austin, Forth Worth, Charlotte, San Francisco and San Jose. It would rank 15th place nationally.
2030: 5th, behind Austin, Fort Worth, Charlotte and San Jose. It would rank 14th nationally.
2035: 5th, again behind Austin, Fort Worth, Charlotte and San Jose. It would remain ranked 14th nationally.

So it seems Columbus may actually move up on the list a spot over time. If any cities slow down or speed up, obviously that could change.