Columbus: 2014 Population Estimates and the Future

In the recent 2014 city population estimates, Columbus remained the 15th largest in the United States. I wanted to take a look at how it is doing compared to other large
national cities along with Midwest peers.

July 1, 2014 City Population Estimate by National Rank
1. New York, NY: 8,491,079
2. Los Angeles, CA: 3,928,864
3. Chicago, IL: 2,722,389
4. Houston, TX: 2,239,558
5. Philadelphia, PA: 1,560,297
6. Phoenix, AZ: 1,537,058
7. San Antonio, TX: 1,436,697
8. San Diego, CA: 1,381,069
9. Dallas, TX: 1,281,047
10. San Jose, CA: 1,015,785
11. Austin, TX: 912,791
12. Jacksonville, FL: 853,382
13. San Francisco, CA: 852,469
14. Indianapolis: 848,788
15. Columbus: 835,957
16. Ft. Worth, TX: 812,238
17. Charlotte, NC: 809,958
18. Detroit, MI: 680,250
19. El Paso, TX: 679,036
20. Seattle, WA: 668,342
21. Denver, CO: 663,862
22. Washington, DC: 658,893
23. Memphis, TN: 656,861
24. Boston, MA: 655,884
25. Nashville, TN: 644,014
26. Baltimore, MD: 622,793
27. Oklahoma City, OK: 620,602
28. Portland, OR: 619,360
29. Las Vegas, NV: 613,599
30. Louisville, KY: 612,780
31. Milwaukee, WI: 599,642
32. Albuquerque, NM: 557,169
33. Tucson, AZ: 527,972
34. Fresno, CA: 515,986
35. Sacramento, CA: 485,199
36. Long Beach, CA: 473,577
37. Kansas City, MO : 470,800
38. Mesa, AZ: 464,704
39. Atlanta, GA: 464,704
40. Virginia Beach, VA: 450,980
41. Omaha, NE: 446,599
42. Colorado Springs, CO: 445,830
43. Raleigh, NC: 439,896
44. Miami, FL: 430,332
45. Oakland, CA: 413,775
46. Minneapolis, MN: 407,207
47. Tulsa, OK: 399,682
48. Cleveland: 389,521
49. Wichita, KS: 388,413
50. New Orleans, LA: 384,320
60. St. Louis, MO: 317,419
62. Pittsburgh, PA: 305,412
65. Cincinnati: 298,165
66. St. Paul, MN: 297,640
68. Toledo, OH: 281,031
72. Lincoln, NE: 272,996
73. Orlando, FL: 262,372
77. Fort Wayne, IN: 258,522
83. Madison, WI: 245,691
105. Des Moines, IA: 209,220
118. Akron: 197,859
183. Dayton: 141,003
472. Canton: 72,297
545. Youngstown: 65,062


Total Population Change 2013-2014 and Census 2010-2014 in ()

1. New York, NY: +52,700 (+316,120)
2. Houston, TX: +35,752 (+142,897)
3. Los Angeles, CA: +30,924 (+136,207)
4. Austin, TX: +25,667 (+101,333)
5. San Antonio, TX: +24,931 (+109,141)
6. Phoenix, AZ: +24,616 (+89,441)
7. San Diego, CA: +21,225 (+79,448)
8. Dallas, TX: +20,322 (+83,255)
9. Fort Worth, TX: +18,183 (+70,178)
10. Charlotte, NC: +16,007 (+74,200)
11. Denver, CO: +15,461 (+63,837)
12. Seattle, WA: +14,938 (+59,684)
13. Columbus: +12,421 (+47,303)
14. San Jose, CA: +11,964 (+63,225)
15. San Francisco, CA: +11,331 (+47,274)
16. Las Vegas, NV: +9,929 (+29,359)
17. Portland, OR: +9,840 (+35,571)
18. Washington, DC: +9,782 (+57,126)
19. Oklahoma City, OK: +9,572 (+40,594)
20. Jacksonville, FL: +9,368 (+31,598)
21. Nashville, TN: +9,144 (+40,508)
22. Miami, FL: +8,969 (+30,824)
23. Raleigh, NC: +8,179 (+35,925)
24. Atlanta, GA: +7,593 (+34,746)
25. Orlando, FL: +6,940 (+23,538)
26. Minneapolis, MN: +6,560 (+24,608)
27. Mesa, AZ: +6,357 (+24,839)
28. Oakland, CA: +6,108 (+22,870)
29. Boston, MA: +5,967 (+38,204)
30. Fresno, CA: +5,698 (+19,906)
31. Colorado Springs, CO: +5,693 (+28,489)
32. Omaha, NE: +5,552 (+23,272)
33. Indianapolis, IN: +5,413 (+28,347)
34. New Orleans, LA: +5,314 (+40,491)
35. Sacramento, CA: +4,975 (+18,711)
36. Philadelphia, PA: +4,245 (+34,291)
37. Lincoln, NE: +4,041 (+14,528)
38. Kansas City, MO: +3,547 (+11,013)
39. Madison, WI: +2,479 (+12,362)
40. Louisville, KY: +2,305 (+15,515)
41. El Paso, TX: +2,245 (+29,903)
42. St. Paul, MN: +2,209 (+12,572)
43. Long Beach, CA: +2,097 (+11,320)
44. Virginia Beach, VA: +1,672 (+13,014)
45. Fort Wayne, IN: +1,658 (+4,822)
46. Des Moines, IA: +1,565 (+5,034)
47. Tucson, AZ: +1,450 (+7,411)
48. Wichita, KS: +1,361 (+6,027)
49. Tulsa, OK: +1,278 (+7,760)
50. Cincinnati: +547 (+1,215)
51. Albuquerque, NM: +336 (+10,809)
52. Milwaukee, WI: +139 (+4,904)
53. Chicago, IL: +82 (+26,791)
54. Canton: -267 (-720)
55. Akron: -299 (-1,233)
56. Youngstown: -431 (-1,920)
57. Baltimore, MD: -611 (+1,672)
58. Dayton: -897 (-758)
59. St. Louis, MO: -1,077 (-1,946)
60. Pittsburgh, PA: -1,314 (-290)
61. Toledo: -1,602 (-6,175)
62. Cleveland: -1,635 (-7,176)
63. Memphis, TN: -1,647 (+5,003)
64. Detroit, MI: -6,424 (-33,612)

Columbus was the 13th fastest growing major city from 2013-2014, and the 15th fastest-growing from the 2010 Census to 2014. It was also the fastest-growing Midwestern city and the 2nd fastest-growing outside of the South and West, behind only New York.

But what about future population rankings? Currently, Columbus is 15th largest, but what about by 2020 and beyond? It’s difficult to project population out very far because rates can change significantly over time. Assuming that all cities grow at the same rate through say, 2030, where might Columbus be?

The chart is somewhat difficult to read, so let me explain. Each city has projected numbers for each 5-year period starting at 2015 and going to 2035. You can rank the cities by looking at where the numbers are on the chart relative to each other. Here is Columbus’ ranking on the chart:

2015: 6th, behind Austin, San Francisco, San Jose, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. It would remain 15th place nationally.
2020: 5th, behind Austin, Fort Worth, San Francisco and San Jose. It would rank 14th place nationally.
2025: 6th, behind Austin, Forth Worth, Charlotte, San Francisco and San Jose. It would rank 15th place nationally.
2030: 5th, behind Austin, Fort Worth, Charlotte and San Jose. It would rank 14th nationally.
2035: 5th, again behind Austin, Fort Worth, Charlotte and San Jose. It would remain ranked 14th nationally.

So it seems Columbus may actually move up on the list a spot over time. If any cities slow down or speed up, obviously that could change.

2014 City Population Estimates

The Census has released new estimates for July 1, 2013-July 1, 2014 for all 100 incorporated places of the metro area.

Total Population July 1, 2014
1. Columbus: 835,957
2. Newark (Licking): 47,839
3. Dublin: 44,214
4. Lancaster (Fairfield): 39,595
5. Grove City: 38,519
6. Westerville: 37,667
7. Delaware (Delaware): 37,372
8. Reynoldsburg: 36,711
9. Upper Arlington: 34,609
10. Gahanna: 34,257
11. Hilliard: 32,465
12. Marysville (Union): 22,708
13. Pickerington (Fairfield): 19,408
14. Whitehall: 18,558
15. Pataskala (Licking): 15,192
16. Worthington: 14,384
17. Bexley: 13,517
18. Circleville (Pickaway): 13,455
19. Powell (Delaware): 12,511
20. Heath (Licking): 10,456
21. London (Madison): 10,056
22. New Albany: 9,202
23. Canal Winchester: 7,704
24. Grandview Heights: 7,244
25. Logan (Hocking): 7,154
26. Granville (Licking): 5,723
27. Groveport: 5,672
28. Sunbury (Delaware): 4,909
29. Johnstown (Licking): 4,870
30. New Lexington (Perry): 4,717
31. Obetz: 4,706
32. Plain City (Madison): 4,295
33. West Jefferson (Madison): 4,272
34. Ashville (Pickaway): 4,149
35. Mount Gilead (Morrow): 3,662
36. Baltimore (Fairfield): 2,962
37. Buckeye Lake (Licking): 2,737
38. Crooksville (Perry): 2,493
39. Hebron (Licking): 2,386
40. Richwood (Union): 2,251
41. Utica (Licking): 2,176
42. Cardington (Morrow): 2,054
43. South Bloomfield (Pickaway): 1,812
44. Mount Sterling (Madison): 1,748
45. Commercial Point (Pickaway): 1,599
46. Somerset (Perry): 1,461
47. Bremen (Fairfield): 1,436
48. Ashley (Delaware): 1,354
49. Minerva Park: 1,306
50. Lithopolis (Fairfield): 1,290
51. Hanover (Licking): 1,103
52. Millersport (Fairfield): 1,048
53. Williamsport (Pickaway): 1,043
54. Urbancrest: 1,011
55. Thornville (Perry): 992
56. Pleasantville (Fairfield): 958
57. New Holland (Pickaway): 832
58. Milford Center (Union): 813
59. Junction City (Perry): 809
60. Amanda (Fairfield): 748
61. Shawnee Hills (Delaware): 729
62. New Straitsville (Perry): 713
63. Galena (Delaware): 684
64. Ostrander (Delaware): 674
65. Shawnee (Perry): 645
66. Valleyview: 630
67. Thurston (Fairfield): 609
68. Marble Cliff: 581
69. Corning (Perry): 573
70. Riverlea: 564
71. Stoutsville (Fairfield): 564
72. Kirkersville (Licking): 536
73. Carroll (Fairfield): 521
74. Laurelville (Hocking): 521
75. Alexandria (Licking): 518
76. Murray City (Hocking): 440
77. Edison (Morrow): 438
78. Sugar Grove (Fairfield): 429
79. Hartford (Licking): 400
80. St. Louisville (Licking): 374
81. South Solon (Madison): 361
82. Marengo (Morrow): 346
83. Harrisburg: 331
84. Midway (Madison): 327
85. Rushville (Fairfield): 304
86. Orient (Pickaway): 275
87. Magnetic Springs (Union): 273
88. Fulton (Morrow): 261
89. Lockbourne: 245
90. Unionville Center (Union): 236
91. Chesterville (Morrow): 231
92. Tarlton (Pickaway): 288
93. Darbyville (Pickaway): 226
94. Gratiot (Licking): 223
95. Glenford (Perry): 176
96. Sparta (Morrow): 163
97. Hemlock (Perry): 155
98. West Rushville (Fairfield): 135
99. Brice: 120
100. Rendville (Perry): 36

Total Change July 1st 2013-July 1, 2014 and Census 2010-July 1, 2014 in ()

1. Columbus: +12,241 (+48,924)
2. Hilliard: +1,458 (+4,030)
3. Grove City: +1,000 (+2,944)
4. Delaware: +764 (+2,619)
5. Dublin: +585 (+2,463)
6. Worthington: +522(+809)
7. New Albany: +373 (+1,478)
8. Pickerington: +356 (+1,117)
9. Powell: +279 (+1,011)
10. Lancaster: +279 (+815)
11. Grandview Heights: +273 (+708)
12. Marysville: +262 (+614)
13. Gahanna: +190 (+1,009)
14. Reynoldsburg: +186 (+818)
15. Sunbury: +179 (+520)
16. Canal Winchester: +162 (+603)
17. Upper Arlington: +141 (+838)
18. Westeville: +115 (+1,547)
19. London: +90 (+152)
20. Circleville: +84 (+141)
21. Lithopolis: +68 (+184)
22. Newark: +65 (+266)
23. Plain City: +51 (+70)
24. Whitehall: +48 (+496)
25. Bexley: +46 (+460)
26. Logan: +42 (+2)
27. Johnstown: +41 (+238)
28. Hanover: +41 (+182)
29. West Jefferson: +41 (+50)
30. Groveport: +34 (+309)
31. Ashville: +31 (+52)
32. Pataskala: +26 (+230)
33. South Bloomfield: +26 (+68)
34. Urbancrest: +26 (+51)
35. Obetz: +25 (+174)
36. Hebron: +20 (+50)
37. Buckeye Lake: +19 (-9)
38. Utica: +17 (+44)
39. Mount Sterling: +17 (-34)
40. Heath: +16 (+146)
41. Galena: +15 (+31)
42. Ostrander: +15 (+31)
43. Commercial Point: +11 (+17)
44. Richwood: +9 (+22)
45. Williamsport: +9 (+20)
46. Baltimore: +8 (-4)
47. Cardington: +7 (+7)
48. Amanda: +6 (+11)
49. Millersport: +5 (+4)
50. New Holland: +4 (+31)
51. Milford Center: +4 (+21)
52. Bremen: +4 (+11)
53. Kirkersville: +4 (+11)
54. South Solon: +4 (+6)
55. Alexandria: +4 (+1)
56. Shawnee Hills: +3 (+48)
57. Minverva Park: +3 (+34)
58. Riverlea: +3 (+19)
59. Marble Cliff: +3 (+8)
60. Tarlton: +3 (+6)
61. Midway: +3 (+5)
62. Thurston: +3 (+5)
63. Ashley: +2 (+24)
64. Harrisburg: +2 (+11)
65. Magnetic Springs: +2 (+5)
66. Orient: +2 (+5)
67. Darbyville: +2 (+4)
68. Stoutsville: +2 (+4)
69. Sugar Grove: +2 (+3)
70. Pleasantville: +2 (-2)
71. Lockbourne: +1 (+8)
72. Brice: +1 (+6)
73. Marengo: +1 (+4)
74. Chesterville: +1 (+3)
75. Fulton: +1 (+3)
76. Hartford: +1 (+3)
77. Unionville Center: +1 (+3)
78. Gratiot: +1 (+2)
79. Mount Gilead: +1 (+2)
80. Rushville: +1 (+2)
81. St. Louisville: +1 (+1)
82. West Rushville: +1 (+1)
83. Laurelville: +1 (-6)
84. Valleyview: 0 (+10)
85. Glenford: 0 (+3)
86. Sparta: 0 (+2)
87. Thornville: 0 (+1)
88. Hemlock: 0 (0)
89. Rendville: 0 (0)
90. Carroll: 0 (-3)
91. Murray City: 0 (-9)
92. Edison: -1 (+1)
93. Granville: -2 (+77)
94. Corning: -3 (-10)
95. New Straitsville: -3 (-9)
96. Junction City: -4 (-10)
97. Shawnee: -4 (-10)
98. Somerset: -7 (-20)
99. Crooksville: -14 (-41)
100. New Lexington: -24 (-14)

Places growing 2013-2014: 83 of 100 or 83%.
Places growing 2010-2014: 84 of 100 or 84%.

Places that grew 2000-2010: 70 of 100 or 70%.